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基于自适应风险判定阈值的电力风险分析与预警方法

胡悦 王亚男 汪洋 张庚

电力信息与通信技术2024,Vol.22Issue(11):16-24,9.
电力信息与通信技术2024,Vol.22Issue(11):16-24,9.DOI:10.16543/j.2095-641x.electric.power.ict.2024.11.03

基于自适应风险判定阈值的电力风险分析与预警方法

Power Risk Analysis and Early Warning Method Based on Adaptive Risk Determination Threshold

胡悦 1王亚男 1汪洋 1张庚1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京市 海淀区 100192
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper proposes a method for power risk analysis and early warning based on adaptive risk determination threshold.This method comprehensively integrates the business importance of communication equipment,the topological importance,and the grid impact importance,using a multi-channel artificial neural network to analyze the impact of communication equipment in depth.Based on Bayesian learning to analyze different fault causes and fault causality and correlation,a concurrent fault event chain network is constructed to timely identify fault risks and issue warnings.Through the analysis of the risk warning results and operation and maintenance repair results,the accuracy of the current concurrent fault event chain network risk warning is evaluated,improving the accuracy of communication equipment warnings,and the safety and reliability of the grid.

关键词

人工神经网络/骨干光通信/电力风险/预警

Key words

artificial neural network/backbone optical communication/power risk/early warning

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

胡悦,王亚男,汪洋,张庚..基于自适应风险判定阈值的电力风险分析与预警方法[J].电力信息与通信技术,2024,22(11):16-24,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(U2166210). (U2166210)

电力信息与通信技术

OACSTPCD

1672-4844

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