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交通用能低碳转型趋势及对国际能源贸易的影响

王军 张鹏程 向征艰 刘江 蒋小凤

国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(10):64-72,9.
国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(10):64-72,9.

交通用能低碳转型趋势及对国际能源贸易的影响

Trends in low-carbon transition in transportation energy use and implications for international energy trade

王军 1张鹏程 2向征艰 2刘江 3蒋小凤4

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油国际事业有限公司
  • 2. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院
  • 3. 中国石油集团长城钻探工程有限公司
  • 4. 中国华油集团有限公司
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Transport energy use accounts for one-third of global end-use energy consumption and generates about 24%of global energy-related carbon emissions.Among the major energy end-use sectors,the transport sector derives 90%of its energy use from petroleum products and is the least diversified in terms of energy use.In the context of the low-carbon transition,road transport is transitioning primarily through electrification,while low-carbon fuels will become the main route for such sectors as aviation and maritime shipping that are difficult to electrify,leading to structural changes in traditional oil trade.On the one hand,China,the United States,Europe and other transition pioneers of oil consumption peak in advance or accelerate the decline and refined oil imports would concentrate to other emerging market countries.On the other hand,low-carbon liquid fuels enter into the period of rapid development,giving rise to new trade demand.China's energy trading enterprises should strengthen the situation study and judgment,pay attention to country-specific policy risks,give full play to the advantages of information and industrial chain,clarify the focus of globalization layout,and accelerate the construction of a three-dimensional"green energy"trade pattern by sea,land and air.

关键词

能源转型/交通用能/电气化/低碳燃料/国际贸易

Key words

energy transition/transportation energy use/electrification/low-carbon fuels/international trade

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王军,张鹏程,向征艰,刘江,蒋小凤..交通用能低碳转型趋势及对国际能源贸易的影响[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(10):64-72,9.

国际石油经济

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