数字经济对农业现代化发展的影响研究OA
Research on the Impact of Digital Economy on the Development of Agricultural Modernization
本文基于2011-2022年省级面板数据,构建基准回归模型、门槛面板模型和空间杜宾模型考察数字经济对我国农业现代化发展的影响效应.得出以下结论:第一,数字经济显著促进我国农业现代化发展,其中数字基础设施和数字普惠金融的促进作用最明显;第二,数字经济对农业现代化发展存在显著的门槛效应,随着科技创新水平、人力资本水平和就业结构的提升,数字经济对于农业现代化发展的推动作用不断增强;第三,数字经济对农业现代化发展存在显著正向空间溢出效应,即本地区数字经济发展可以有效促进邻近地区农业现代化发展水平的提升;第四,数字经济对农业现代化发展影响具有地区异质性,中部地区数字经济对农业现代化发展的推动作用最为显著,西部地区数字经济发展对农业现代化发展的影响作用不明显.这些结论对充分发挥数字经济引擎作用,全面推动农业现代化发展具有重要意义.
Based on the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2022,this paper constructs benchmark regression model,threshold panel model,and spatial Dubin model to examine the impact of digital economy on China's agricultural modernization.The following conclusions are drawn:First,digital economy significantly promotes China's agricultural modernization,among which the promotion effects of digital infrastructure and digital inclusive finance are most obvious;Second,digital economy exhibits a significant threshold effect on agricultural modernization,as the promotion role of digital economy in agricultural modernization continues to strengthen with the improvement of technological innovation level,human capital level,and employment structure;Third,digital economy has a significant positive spatial spillover effect on agricultural modernization,i.e.,the improvement of digital economy in the current region can effectively promote the improvement of agricultural modernization in neighboring regions;Fourth,digital economy has a regional heterogeneity in its impact on agricultural modernization,with the promotion role of digital economy in agricultural modernization in the central region being the most significant,and the impact of digital economic development on agricultural modernization in the western region being not obvious.These conclusions have important implications for fully leveraging the engine role of digital economy and comprehensively promoting agricultural modernization.
孙甜甜
河北地质大学 河北,石家庄 050031
经济学
农业现代化发展数字经济熵值法门槛效应空间计量地区异质性
agricultural modernizationdigital economyentropy methodthreshold effectspatial econometricsregional heterogeneity
《现代农业研究》 2024 (012)
18-28 / 11
国家社会科学基金项目"中国农业数字化转型机理、效应及路径优化研究"(项目编号:21CJY048);河北省社会科学发展研究课题"京津冀数字经济驱动城乡融合发展的机制与路径研究"(项目编号:20230202014).
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