反馈信息差异下的出行者响应模式划分:基于路径选择实验OACSTPCD
Traveler Response Pattern Classification under Feedback Information Differences:Based on Path Selection Experiments
为掌握交通反馈信息差异对出行者路径选择行为的影响机理,提出一种基于行为试验与K-Means条件概率模型的出行者信息响应行为识别与分析方法.首先,在对称和非对称的双路径路网中,设计并实施了反馈部分信息、全面信息和付费信息3种不同场景下的路径选择行为实验.然后,根据构造的路径选择决策变量可能出现的几种情形,基于K-Means理论建模并进行聚类探讨出行者信息响应行为.实验结果表明,在不同的信息反馈场景下,系统都逐步趋于用户均衡状态;相比全面信息场景,反馈付费信息有助于系统快速趋于均衡状态,并提高系统的稳定性;出行者的出行收益与策略改变频率呈负相关,这种相关趋势在非对称路径下更为显著.出行者对信息的响应模式存在显著的个体差异,可划分为正向响应型、反向响应型、惯性响应型、风险规避型以及选择高风险型;在不同的信息反馈场景下,这5种响应模式的概率分布呈现出明显的差异;随着反馈信息内容的丰富,正向响应型和反向响应型出行者的数量逐渐减少,风险规避型出行者数量增多.研究表明,反馈信息场景和路网结构的差异会显著影响出行者的路径选择行为及信息响应模式.为此,构建一套更加科学和合理的信息反馈机制尤为关键,以有效引导出行者的决策行为、缓解交通拥堵,进而全面提升和优化整个交通系统的运行效率.
In order to grasp the influence mechanism of traffic feedback information differences on travellers' path choice behaviours,a method for identifying and analyzing travellers' information re-sponse behaviours based on behavioural experiments and K-Means conditional probability model was proposed.Firstly,in symmetric and asymmetric dual-path road networks,experiments on path choice behaviour under three different scenarios:the feedback of partial information,comprehensive informa-tion and paid information were designed and implemented.Then,based on several possible scenarios of the constructed path choice decision variables,K-Means theory modelling and clustering were used to explore travellers' information response behaviour.The experimental results show that the system gradually converges to the user equilibrium state under different information feedback scenarios;com-pared with the comprehensive information scenario,the feedback of paid information helps the system to quickly converge to the equilibrium state and improves the stability of the system;travellers' benefit is negatively correlated with the frequency of strategy change,and this correlation tends to be even more significant in the case of asymmetric paths.There are significant individual differences in the re-sponse patterns of travellers to the information,which can be classified as positive response type,re-verse response type,inertia response type,risk aversion type,and high-risk selection type;under differ-ent feedback scenarios,the probability distributions of these five response patterns show significant differences;with the enrichment of the feedback information,the number of positive and reverse re-sponse travellers decreases gradually,and the number of risk aversion travellers increases.The study shows that the differences in feedback information scenarios and road network structure significantly affect the route choice behaviour and information response patterns of travellers.Therefore,it is partic-ularly crucial to construct a more scientific and reasonable information feedback mechanism,to effec-tively guide travelers' decision-making behavior,alleviate traffic congestion,and thus comprehensive-ly improve and optimize the operational efficiency of the entire transport system.
强生杰;王汤家;田坚;刘国翔
华东交通大学 交通运输工程学院,江西 南昌 330013华东交通大学 交通运输工程学院,江西 南昌 330013华东交通大学 交通运输工程学院,江西 南昌 330013华东交通大学 交通运输工程学院,江西 南昌 330013
交通运输
城市交通路径选择机理聚类分析出行者行为信息发布差异行为学实验
urban transportationpath selection mechanismcluster analysistraveler behaviorinformation dissemination differencesbehavioral experiment
《交通运输研究》 2024 (5)
1-14,14
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72001081)江西省自然科学基金资助项目(20212BAB214015)
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