人民黄河2024，Vol.46Issue(12)：149-154,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2024.12.025
基于AJSO-NOGM(1,1)组合模型某抽水蓄能电站库岸边坡变形预测
Prediction of Reservoir Bank Slope Deformation of a Pumped Storage Power Station Based on AJSO-NOGM(1,1)Combined Model
陈国锋 1李广凯 2马仿校 1赵云飞3
作者信息
- 1. 浙江华东测绘与工程安全技术有限公司,浙江 杭州 310014
- 2. 国网新源控股有限公司华北开发建设分公司,天津 300202
- 3. 临沂市公安局,山东 临沂 276000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The deformation evolution of reservoir slope shows obvious time-sensitive characteristics.Based on the gray system new information priority theory,this paper introduced an equidistant NOGM(1,1)model based on new initial condition optimization to strengthen the latest time-sensitive factors on reservoir slope,thus,the influence proportion of the latest environmental variables on slope deformation was in-creased.It used the artificial jellyfish search algorithm to intelligently optimize the relevant model parameters and build the AJSO-NOGM(1,1)model for reservoir slope deformation prediction.The example analysis shows that the method has higher prediction accuracy and well re-flects the deformation trend of reservoir slope compared with the traditional gray system GM(1,1)model.关键词
边坡变形/预测/NOGM(1,1)/AJSO/水库/抽水蓄能电站Key words
slope deformation/prediction/NOGM(1,1)/AJSO/reservoir/pumped storage power station分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
陈国锋,李广凯,马仿校,赵云飞..基于AJSO-NOGM(1,1)组合模型某抽水蓄能电站库岸边坡变形预测[J].人民黄河,2024,46(12):149-154,6.
