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黄土高原地区生态脆弱性的空间分布格局及与其控制因子关系的一致性OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

Consistency analysis of the spatial distribution patterns and their drivers of the ecological vulnerability on the Loess Plateau

中文摘要英文摘要

生态脆弱性评估主要包括综合指标法和单一指标法,但有关两种方法评估结果的一致性尚缺乏系统性的量化研究.以我国典型生态脆弱区——黄土高原为例,基于依据"暴露-敏感性-适应力"模型框架的综合指标法和以生态系统净初级生产力为指标的单一指标评价法,定量评估了生态脆弱性的空间分布格局及与其控制因子关系的一致性.结果表明:(1)两种方法得到的生态脆弱性分布格局整体类似,中度及以上等级生态脆弱区面积占总面积的58%-63%,且呈现向西北递增的趋势;(2)像元尺度上,虽然两种方法估算的生态脆弱性指数显著正相关(r=0.80,P<0.001),但近一半像元(45%)的脆弱性等级存在差异,主要表现为单一指标法估算的生态脆弱性程度比综合指标法高一个等级,尤其在植被生产力相对较高的区域;(3)地理探测器模型分析表明,两种方法估算的生态脆弱性格局与驱动因子的关系整体一致,气候湿润程度与植被覆盖度均为主控因子,且年降水量和植被覆盖度的双因子增强交互作用具有最高的解释力,其对两种方法估算生态脆弱性格局的平均解释力高达85%.研究结果强调了两种方法评估生态脆弱性格局的一致性,但在植被较好区域可能存在一定差异.考虑到综合指标评估法存在指标计算复杂和结果年际波动大等问题,单一指标法可能是评估生态脆弱性分布格局更快速有效的方法.

The comprehensive index system and the single index system have been widely used to evaluate the ecological vulnerability.However,the systematic quantification of the consistency between the results obtained by these two methods is still lacking and the uncertainties in the spatial patterns and driving forces of the ecological vulnerability remain unclear.In this case study conducted on the Loess Plateau which is one of the most eco-fragile regions in China,we compared the spatial patterns and driving forces of the ecological vulnerability as estimated by a comprehensive index system based on the exposure-sensitivity-adaptation model and a single index system based on the ecosystem net primary production.Results showed an overall consistency in the spatial patterns of the ecological vulnerability results calculated by the two methods.Approximately 58%—63%of the total land area exhibited a moderate or higher ecological vulnerability level,with higher ecological vulnerability observed in the northwest region compared to the southeast region.On a per-pixel basis,although the estimated ecological vulnerability indices by the two methods were highly positively correlated across the space(r=0.80,P<0.001),nearly half of the lands(45%)showed inconsistent levels of the ecological vulnerability,characterized by one level higher vulnerability by the single index system compared to the comprehensive index system.This inconsistency was particularly noticeable in the southeast,central and west regions with relatively higher vegetation productivity.Our findings revealed that the spatial patterns of the ecological vulnerability estimated by the two methods showed overall consistent correlations with the main driving factors according to the Geodetector model.The climate humidity represented by the annual precipitation or moisture index and the vegetation coverage represented by the annual maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)were the two major drivers,with the largest explanatory power by the enhanced interaction between annual precipitation and annual maximum NDVI.On average,these two factors explained 85%of the spatial variations in ecological vulnerability estimated from the two methods.While our findings emphasized the highly consistency of the ecological vulnerability patterns estimated by different methods.They also highlighted some discrepancies,especially in the regions with relatively better vegetation conditions.The single index system might be more cost-effective in evaluating the ecological vulnerability patterns,considering the complexity of calculation methods and the large inter-annual variability of the estimated ecological vulnerability by the comprehensive index system method.This study provided baseline inferences for the selection of calculation methods in follow-up studies on ecological vulnerability evaluation.

张良侠;周德成;樊江文;张海燕;岳笑

中国气象局生态系统碳源汇重点开放实验室,南京信息工程大学,南京 210044中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101

生态脆弱性空间格局控制因子净初级生产力地理探测器黄土高原

ecological vulnerabilityspatial variationscontrol factorsnet primary productionGeodetectorLoess Plateau

《生态学报》 2024 (022)

10096-10105 / 10

第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究项目(2019QZKK0608)

10.20103/j.stxb.202311062407

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