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我国主要超大城市人口减少:态势、成因与对策建议

赵峥 郭靖 徐海东 张诗琪

重庆理工大学学报2024,Vol.38Issue(22):1-8,8.
重庆理工大学学报2024,Vol.38Issue(22):1-8,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(s).2024.11.001

我国主要超大城市人口减少:态势、成因与对策建议

Population decline in major mega-cities in China:Trends,causes,and countermeasures

赵峥 1郭靖 2徐海东 3张诗琪4

作者信息

  • 1. 国务院发展研究中心公共管理与人力资源研究所,北京 100010
  • 2. 深圳大学政府管理学院,广东 深圳 518060||深圳大学全球特大型城市治理研究院,广东 深圳 518060
  • 3. 中国社会科学院财经战略研究院,北京 100010
  • 4. 深圳大学政府管理学院,广东 深圳 518060
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Mega-cities are the driving force and growth pole of national and regional economic and social development.At present,there is a significant population decline in major mega cities in China,but there are significant differences in the characteristics and trends of population changes among different cities.This article provides an in-depth analysis of the basic trend of population decline in major mega cities in China.Through detailed data statistics,it reveals the changes of the permanent population in the major mega cities such as Shanghai,Beijing,Shenzhen,Guangzhou,and Tianjin from 2013 to 2022.Research has found that although some cities such as Chengdu and Chongqing still have population inflows,the year-on-year growth is a step down with Beijing,Shanghai,Tianjin,Guangzhou,and Shenzhen having experienced varying degrees of permanent population decline.This indicates that the population decline in China's mega cities reflects to some extent the objective laws of urban development,and is also influenced by multiple factors such as macro population trends,external pressure shocks,urban planning and design,industrial transformation and upgrading,and competition between cities.The problem of population decline in mega cities is both a challenge and an opportunity for urban development.In the future,the mega cities should take the opportunity of population reduction,implement the concept of people's cities,focus on high-quality living,high-quality development,and efficient governance,accelerate the transformation of urban development mode,continuously improve the comprehensive development level of cities,and continuously enhance the population attraction and carrying capacity of cities to cope with the challenges brought by population reduction and seize the development opportunities therein.

关键词

超大城市/人口减少/城市高质量发展/人口吸引力/城市承载力

Key words

mega-cities/population decline/high quality urban development/population attractiveness/urban carrying capacity

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

赵峥,郭靖,徐海东,张诗琪..我国主要超大城市人口减少:态势、成因与对策建议[J].重庆理工大学学报,2024,38(22):1-8,8.

基金项目

教育部人文社会科学研究基金青年项目"超大和特大城市人口密度的微观决定机理与最优区间研究"(23YJC790037) (23YJC790037)

广东省社会科学省市共建项目"深圳建设全球标杆城市的战略研究"(GD23XYJ88) (GD23XYJ88)

中国社会科学院创新工程项目"中国式现代化视域下的城市与房地产发展"(2024CJY0105) (2024CJY0105)

本文受深圳市人文社会科学重点研究基地支持 ()

重庆理工大学学报

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