粮食安全约束下中国化肥绿色利用效率的时空演进及驱动因素OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD
Spatiotemporal evolution and drivers of green application efficiency of fertilizers in China under grain security constraints
化肥在保障粮食稳产增产的同时也引发了严重的环境污染问题,提升化肥绿色利用效率是缓解这一矛盾的关键.基于 2011-2021 年省级面板数据,将粮食安全和环境污染纳入测算体系,运用超效率加权SBM模型评估中国化肥绿色利用效率,并利用马尔可夫链模型和双向固定效应模型,探讨其时空演进特征及驱动因素.结果显示,中国化肥绿色利用效率呈现出两阶段的上升趋势,并表现出明显的空间延伸性,且粮食主销区是其提升的主要动能区.然而,中国化肥绿色利用效率存在省际差距扩大、部分地区仍相对较低的问题.进一步分析发现,农户收入水平越高、农业生产规模越小、农作物受灾率越低、粮食播种比例越大、社会化服务水平越高,化肥绿色利用效率越高.同时,技术进步是提升化肥绿色利用效率的主要动力,而技术效率的贡献较小.化肥投入过量仍是制约中国化肥绿色利用效率提升的主要因素,但部分地区的粮食产量不足也是制约其效率提升的关键动因.上述结论有助于厘清中国化肥绿色利用效率的时空差异及驱动因素,为保障粮食安全和推进乡村绿色发展提供新的政策参考.
While fertilizers have ensured stable and increasing grain production,they have also caused significant environmental pollution problems.Based on a provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021,this study incorporates grain security and environmental pollution into the efficiency measurement system from an efficiency perspective to assess green utilization efficiency of fertilizers(GUEF)in China and to explore its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors by the super-efficiency-weighted SBM model,Markov chain model,and bidirectional fixed-effects model.Results indicate that GUEF exhibits a two-stage upward trend and shows significant spatial extensibility.The main grain marketing areas are the primary kinetic regions for its improvement.However,GUEF also suffers from a widening inter-provincial gap and remains relatively low in certain regions.Further analysis reveals that higher income levels among farmers,smaller scales of agricultural production,lower crop damage rates,larger proportions of grain production,and higher levels of socialized services correlate with higher GUEF.Additionally,technological progress is the primary driving force behind the improvement of GUEF,while the contribution of technical efficiency is minimal.Furthermore,excessive fertilizer application remains the main constraint on improving GUEF,while insufficient grain production in certain regions also hinders efficiency improvement.These findings help clarify the spatial and temporal differences and driving factors of GUEF,providing new policy references for safeguarding grain security and promoting green rural development.
张恒;于松;赵茂;白秀广
西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100云南师范大学管理学院,云南 昆明 650091
经济学
粮食安全乡村绿色发展化肥绿色利用效率技术进步时空演进
grain securitygreen rural developmentgreen application efficiency of fertilizerstechnological progressspatial and temporal evolution
《农业现代化研究》 2024 (005)
803-813 / 11
教育部人文社会科学研究基金项目(22YJA790001);陕西省软科学项目(2024ZC-YBXM-002);西北农林科技大学基本科研业务费(2452024310).Supported by the Humanities and Social Science Fund of Ministry of Education(22YJA790001);Shaanxi Soft Science Project(2024ZC-YBXM-002);Fundamental Research Funds of Northwest A&F University(2452024310).
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