江西省生态系统服务价值时空演变及驱动因素OA
Spatial and Temporal Evolution of the Value of Ecosystem Services and Drivers in Jiangxi Province
为探究江西省生态系统服务价值(ESV)时空演变及其影响因素,基于江西省 2000 年、2010 年、2020 年 3 期土地利用数据,构建土地利用转移矩阵,运用当量因子法计算ESV,并引入地理加权回归模型(GWR)分析关键驱动因子对江西省ESV时空演变的影响程度.结果表明:(1)江西省 2000-2020 年主要土地利用类型是林地和耕地,土地利用转移主要是耕地和林地转化为建设用地、林地和草地的相互转化.(2)2000-2020 年江西省ESV由 4390.88 亿元下降为 4389.90 亿元,并且空间异质性显著.(3)年均降水、高程、人均GDP、城镇化率、距铁路距离、距公路距离是影响ESV变化的关键驱动因子,年均降水对ESV影响表现为北向南递减,从正值到负值过渡的特征;高程、城镇化率、人均GDP负向影响ESV;距铁路距离、距公路距离正向影响ESV.综上,土地利用变化是影响江西省ESV变化的直接原因,建设用地的增加大量占用林地和未利用地,导致生态系统服务价值降低,未来应控制建设用地扩张规模,确保各地类间相互平衡状态,以便协同推进经济社会发展和生态环境保护.
In order to investigate the spatial and temporal evolution of ecosystem service value(ESV)and its influencing factors in Jiangxi Province,we constructed a land-use transfer matrix based on three periods of land-use data in Jiangxi Province in 2000,2010 and 2020,calculated the ESV by using the equivalent factor method,and introduced a geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to analyse the degree of influence of the key driving factors on spatial and temporal evolution of ESV in Jiangxi Province.The results showed that:(1)the main land use types in Jiangxi Province from 2000 to 2020 were forest land and arable land,and the land use transfer mainly consists of the conversion of arable land and forest land into construction land,and the mutual conversion of forest land and grassland.(2)The ESV of Jiangxi Province decreased from 439.088 billion yuan to 438.990 billion yuan from 2000 to 2020,and the spatial heterogeneity was significant.(3)Mean annual precipitation,elevation,per capita GDP,urbanisa-tion rate,distance from railway,distance from road were the key driving factors affecting the change of ESV.The influence of mean annual precipitation on ESV exhibits the characteristics of decreasing from north to south,and transitioning from positive to negative values,elevation,urbanisation rate,per capita GDP negatively affected ESV,and the distance from railway,distance from road posi-tively affected ESV.In conclusion,land use change is the direct cause of the change of ESV in Jiangxi Province,and the increase of construction land occupies a large amount of forest land and unused land,which leads to the decrease of ecosystem service value.In the future,we should control the scale of the expansion of construction land,and ensure the mutual balance status among the various categories,in order to synergistically promote the economic and social development and ecological and environmental protection.
刘美芳;张立亭
东华理工大学 测绘与空间信息工程学院,江西 南昌 330013||东华理工大学 自然资源部环鄱阳湖区域矿山环境监测与治理重点实验室,江西 南昌 330013
环境科学
江西省生态系统服务价值驱动力GWR模型
Jiangxi Provinceecosystem service valuedriving forceGWR model
《天津农业科学》 2024 (010)
40-49 / 10
江西省自然科学基金青年基金项目(20224BAB213037);江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目(GJJ2200745);自然资源部环鄱阳湖区域矿山环境监测与治理重点实验室开放基金项目(MEMI-2023-16);江西省哲学社会科学基地、江西省软科学培育基地联合项目(22SJDJC02);东华理工大学博士启动基金项目(DHBK2022001)
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