海洋科学2024，Vol.48Issue(10)：33-47,15.DOI:10.11759/hykx20240508001
近40a远洋渔业主要作业海域海表温度异常年际变化分析
Analysis of interannual changes in sea surface temperature anomalies in the main operating areas of pelagic fishery over the past 40 years
摘要
Abstract
Sea surface temperature(SST)is a crucial oceanic parameter affecting marine ecosystems and human society.Over the past 40 years,pelagic fisheries have operated mainly in the Pacific,Atlantic,and Indian Oceans,where SST anomalies inevitably affect these areas.Using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Optimum Interpolated Monthly Mean Sea Surface Temperature data(1982-2021)and the Southern Oscillation In-dex(SOI)published by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for 1982-2021,we analyzed SST anomalies in key pelagic fisheries.The time series of SST anomalies from 1982 to 2021 were analyzed using Fourier transform to identify significant changes in the time series.The correlation between the SST anomalies and the SOI was exam-ined,and Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess(STL)decomposition was applied to investigate the sea-sonal intensity and trends of SST changes across different oceanic regions.The analysis of SST anomalies from 1982 to 2021 in offshore fisheries shows fluctuations between-0.39℃and 0.37℃,with a 3-4-year cycle.Com-pared with the SOI time series over the same period,they fluctuated in the inverse phase on an interannual scale.After the significance analysis,it was found that SST anomalies inversely correlated with the SOI on an interannual scale,with a significant negative correlation(0.351)at a significant level of 0.05.Comparing this result with the analysis of interannual SST anomalies from 1982 to 2011 reveals a sustained increasing trend in the average SST anomalies across the main pelagic fisheries.The trend curves for various fisheries indicate a continuous rise in av-erage SSTA.The SSTA trend curves indicate an increasing trend across all fishing grounds.The eastern Pacific Ocean and the southeastern Pacific Ocean have changed from decreasing to increasing trends,highlighting the in-fluence of ENSO events.Detrended correlation analysis reveals significant correlations between SST anomalies and SOI in the eastern Pacific,northwestern Pacific,mid-Atlantic,and eastern Indian Oceans,with coefficients of-0.874,0.395,0.334,and-0.380,respectively.No significant correlation was found in other fishing grounds.Sea-sonal intensity is highest in the Northwest Pacific Ocean and East Indian Ocean and lowest in the West Pacific Ocean.A comparative analysis with the mean and standard deviation of the past 30 years shows a significant up-ward trend in SST anomalies in pelagic fisheries over the past 10 years.This period also exhibits greater tempera-ture fluctuations and instability,indicating the more pronounced impact of climate change on the oceans.关键词
远洋渔业/海表温度/海表温度异常/南方涛动指数/STL分解Key words
Pelagic fishery/Sea Surface Temperature/Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly/Southern Oscillation Index/Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess decomposition分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
赖启祥,周为峰,崔雪森,石永闯..近40a远洋渔业主要作业海域海表温度异常年际变化分析[J].海洋科学,2024,48(10):33-47,15.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2023YFD2401303) （2023YFD2401303）
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(东海水产研究所 2022ZD0402)[The National Key R&D Program of China,No.2023YFD2401303 （东海水产研究所 2022ZD0402）
The Central Public-Interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund,ECSFR,CAFS,No.2022ZD0402] （）
