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应急视域下山洪灾害复盘与应对过程分析:以2022年6场典型事件为例

付潇然 王中根 祁书文 孙洪泉 蔡静雅

水利水电技术(中英文)2024,Vol.55Issue(11):15-25,11.
水利水电技术(中英文)2024,Vol.55Issue(11):15-25,11.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2024.11.002

应急视域下山洪灾害复盘与应对过程分析:以2022年6场典型事件为例

A summary and reflection on the six events of flash flood disasters in 2022 from an emergency management perspective

付潇然 1王中根 2祁书文 1孙洪泉 2蔡静雅1

作者信息

  • 1. 应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院,北京 100085||复合链生自然灾害动力学应急管理部重点实验室,北京 100085
  • 2. 应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院,北京 100085||复合链生自然灾害动力学应急管理部重点实验室,北京 100085||中国科学院大学,北京 100049
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective]In recent years,global warming has led to the exacerbation of precipitation extremes,[Results]ing in se-vere threats from flash floods,which pose serious risks to human survival.The motivation of this study focuses on improving dis-aster emergency response abilities,better understanding the causes of historical events,and summing up the weaknesses,experi-ences,and lessons.[Methods]A combination of field surveys,classified statistics,and attribution analysis were used in the flash flood reflection of six disasters that occurred in Heilongjiang,Sichuan,Shanxi,and Qinghai provinces in 2022.This study reviewed the various stages of disaster evolution concerning key factors,environment,socio-economic activity,and response measures from an emergency management viewpoint.The common rules and differences of the six disaster events were systemati-cally analyzed,and the whole process of flash flooding and disaster response was compared and replayed.Meanwhile,in view of the shortcomings exposed in the early warning,response coupling,and suggestions have been proposed.[Results]The result demonstrated that five disasters were caused by short-duration extremes,and all of them occurred in the areas of precipitation at night,which increased the risk of flash floods and the difficulty of rescue.Three disasters occurred in the mountains and valleys of western China,which are key prevention areas for flash flood disaster.In four cases,flash floods were exacerbated by human activities extending into areas with inefficient risk detection and early warning.[Conclusion]The six typical disasters of flash floods in 2022 have the similarity of heavy rainfall intensity,short duration,high flood peak,and severe losses.Although a series of measures have been taken at the national level and great effects have been achieved,there are still challenges in the future process of disaster prevention for flash floods.It is suggested to adhere to the prevention first strategy of flash flood control,ex-plore monitoring and early warning research on personnel transfer and evacuation,learn the lessons from event reflection,and constantly improve the comprehensive ability of the primary level to deal with flood disasters in China.

关键词

复盘分析/暴雨山洪/成因分析/应急响应/监测预警/气候变化/降雨/山洪灾害

Key words

summary and reflection/rainstorm flash flood/cause analysis/emergency response/monitoring and early warning/climate change/rainfall/flash flood disaster

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

付潇然,王中根,祁书文,孙洪泉,蔡静雅..应急视域下山洪灾害复盘与应对过程分析:以2022年6场典型事件为例[J].水利水电技术(中英文),2024,55(11):15-25,11.

基金项目

第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究专题(2019QZKK0903-02) (2019QZKK0903-02)

国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFB3901203) (2021YFB3901203)

国家自然科学基金项目(41971039 ()

52379008) ()

水利水电技术(中英文)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-0860

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