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基于时序概率预测方法的高拱坝施工参数仿真应用

林育佳

云南水力发电2024,Vol.40Issue(12):102-105,4.
云南水力发电2024,Vol.40Issue(12):102-105,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-3951.2024.12.028

基于时序概率预测方法的高拱坝施工参数仿真应用

Simulation Application of Construction Parameters for High Arch Dams Based on Time-series Probability Prediction Method

林育佳1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东水电二局集团有限公司,广东 广州 510000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study aims to develop a high arch dam construction parameter update model based on temporal probability prediction method to improve the accuracy and efficiency of construction.It applies the ARIMA-LSTM hybrid model to high arch dam engineering,preparing construction data through data collection,outlier processing,data averaging,and missing value processing.The establishment and parameter setting of ARIMA and LSTM models,as well as the design of a combined prediction process,can better predict the construction parameters of high arch dams.In terms of optimizing and updating construction parameters,it conducted simulation parameter analysis for high arch dam construction,with a particular focus on the calculation method for the single cycle duration of cable cranes.By planning the circular route,setting operating parameters,and calculating the duration of a single cycle,efforts can be made to optimize the construction process,ensuring the efficiency and safety of high arch dam construction.Finally,this paper conducted a comprehensive analysis of the actual application effect of the model,evaluating its performance and application effectiveness by comparing the predicted results with the actual values.

关键词

时序概率/高拱坝施工/参数仿真应用/应用效果

Key words

temporal probability/high arch dam construction/parameter simulation application/application effect

分类

水利科学

引用本文复制引用

林育佳..基于时序概率预测方法的高拱坝施工参数仿真应用[J].云南水力发电,2024,40(12):102-105,4.

云南水力发电

1006-3951

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