发电技术2024，Vol.45Issue(6)：1114-1120,7.DOI:10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.23171
新疆能耗双控向碳排放双控转变分析和预测
Analysis and Forecast of the Shift From Double Control of Energy Consumption to Double Control of Carbon Emissions in Xinjiang
摘要
Abstract
[Objectives]As a national energy base,the shift in energy policy in Xinjiang is of great significance to the realization of national energy strategy goals.The shift from controlling total amount and intensity of energy consumption to controlling total amount and intensity of carbon emissions in Xinjiang was investigated.[Methods]Two decoupling elasticity indexes of economic elasticity and energy consumption elasticity of carbon emissions were proposed,and the decoupling relationship between energy consumption and carbon emissions in Xinjiang was predicted.[Results]It is found that Xinjiang has initially realized the relative decoupling of energy consumption and carbon emissions,and is expected to realize the absolute decoupling of energy consumption and carbon emissions in 2032.The shift in the dual-control index helps to improve the electrification level of end-use energy consumption in Xinjiang,but the pressure to maintain electricity supply increases.[Conclusions]The research results have guiding significance for energy policy making in Xinjiang and even the whole country,provide an empirical basis for realizing the goal of carbon neutrality,and also provide a reference for the transition path of other energy bases.关键词
碳达峰/碳中和/能源消费/碳排放/能耗双控/碳排放双控/新疆能源政策Key words
carbon peak/carbon neutrality/energy consumption/carbon emissions/dual control of energy consumption/dual control of carbon emissions/Xinjiang energy policy分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
李昌陵,常喜强,卢浩..新疆能耗双控向碳排放双控转变分析和预测[J].发电技术,2024,45(6):1114-1120,7.基金项目
国家社科基金重大项目(21&ZD133) （21&ZD133）
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2021D01C044) （2021D01C044）
新疆维吾尔自治区2022年重点研发专项项目(2022B01019).Project Supported by National Social Science Foundation of China(21&ZD133) （2022B01019）
Natural Science Foundation of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region(2021D01C044) （2021D01C044）
Key R&D Special Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in 2022(2022B01019). （2022B01019）
