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Increase in the variability of terrestrial carbon uptake in response to enhanced future ENSO modulation

Younong Li Li Dan Jing Peng Qidong Yang Fuqiang Yang

大气和海洋科学快报（英文版）2025，Vol.18Issue(1)：32-38,7.

大气和海洋科学快报（英文版）2025，Vol.18Issue(1)：32-38,7.DOI:10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100508

Increase in the variability of terrestrial carbon uptake in response to enhanced future ENSO modulation

Younong Li ¹Li Dan ²Jing Peng ²Qidong Yang ³Fuqiang Yang²

作者信息

1. Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,China||Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Processes in the Boundary Layer over the Low-Latitude Plateau Region,Department of Atmospheric Science,Yunnan University,Kunming,China
2. Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,China
3. Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Processes in the Boundary Layer over the Low-Latitude Plateau Region,Department of Atmospheric Science,Yunnan University,Kunming,China
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摘要

Abstract

ENSO是中低纬度地区气候系统的主要驱动因素,对陆地碳循环有重要影响.本研究基于10个CMIP6地球系统模式,分析了不同情景下ENSO变率与中低纬度地区总初级生产力变率的关系.结果显示,未来ENSO变率和总初级生产力变率在未来多数模式均显示为增加.在未来情境下(2051-2100年),中低纬度地区的总初级生产力变率较历史时期(1951-2000年)增加了30.9％(SSP2-4.5),58.2％(SSP5-8.5).进一步分析表明,ENSO主要通过温度影响中低纬度碳通量变率.这种现象可能归因于总初级生产力对温度的响应增强,以及ENSO对陆地表面温度的影响.

关键词

总初级生产力/ENSO变率/CMIP6

Key words

Carbon variability/ENSO modulation/CMIP6 models

引用本文复制引用

Younong Li,Li Dan,Jing Peng,Qidong Yang,Fuqiang Yang..Increase in the variability of terrestrial carbon uptake in response to enhanced future ENSO modulation[J].大气和海洋科学快报（英文版）,2025,18(1):32-38,7.

基金项目

This study was jointly supported by projects of the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42141017 and 41975112]. （）

大气和海洋科学快报（英文版）

ISSN：1674-2834

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