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2000-2022年间江西省碳固定和碳排放时空变化规律

吴小红 喻艳菁 谢运生

能源研究与管理2024,Vol.16Issue(4):17-26,10.
能源研究与管理2024,Vol.16Issue(4):17-26,10.DOI:10.16056/j.2096-7705.2024.04.003

2000-2022年间江西省碳固定和碳排放时空变化规律

Spatial and Temporal Change of Carbon Fixation and Carbon Emission in Jiangxi Province from 2000 to 2022

吴小红 1喻艳菁 1谢运生2

作者信息

  • 1. 南昌市生态环境监测中心,南昌 330038
  • 2. 江西省科学院能源研究所,温室气体核算与碳减排江西省重点实验室,南昌 330096||江西省碳中和研究中心,南昌 330096
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Exploring the spatial and space law of carbon fixation and carbon emission in Jiangxi province and grasping its carbon balance situation will help the province to explore a feasible path of energy conservation,emission reduction and energy exchange increase.Based on natural and socioeconomic data,the hotspot analysis method,multiscale geographically weighted regression(MGWR)model and local binary relationship were used to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution rules of carbon fixation and carbon emission in Jiangxi province from 2000 to 2022.The results show that between 2000 and 2022.The carbon fixed value of Jiangxi province presents a spatial distribution pattern of low center and high periphery,opposite,carbon emissions show a distribution pattern of high center and low around.The results of MGWR showed that,in 2000,a significant negative correlation between temperature,GDP,Tiav and POP and carbon fixation,precipitation and Fiav showed a positive correlation with carbon fixation.But by 2022,Tiav and carbon fixation shifted from a negative to a significant positive correlation.The relationship between Fiav and carbon fixation changed from positive correlation to significant negative correlation.From 2000 to 2022,there were four relationships:negative linear correlation,convex shape,unclear and insignificant relationship between carbon fixation and carbon emission in Jiangxi province.The results highlight the dual impact of ecological restoration and economic structure transformation on carbon fixation and carbon emission,and provide an important basis for formulating effective emission reduction policies and sustainable development strategies in Jiangxi province.

关键词

碳固定/碳排放/时空规律/多尺度地理加权回归MGWR/驱动因素/江西省

Key words

carbon fixation/carbon emission/spatial and temporal law/multiscale geographically weighted regression(MGWR)/driving factors/Jiangxi province

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

吴小红,喻艳菁,谢运生..2000-2022年间江西省碳固定和碳排放时空变化规律[J].能源研究与管理,2024,16(4):17-26,10.

基金项目

江西省科学院省级财政科研项目经费包干制试点示范项目(2022YSBG22016) (2022YSBG22016)

江西省科学院省级科研院基础研究与人才专项项目(2022YJC2010) (2022YJC2010)

能源研究与管理

2096-7705

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