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中国人口质量测度与地区差异分解

王丙参 魏艳华 马立平

统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(24):54-59,6.
统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(24):54-59,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.24.009

中国人口质量测度与地区差异分解

China's Population Quality Measurement and the Decomposition of Regional Differences

王丙参 1魏艳华 2马立平3

作者信息

  • 1. 天水师范学院 数学与统计学院,甘肃 天水 741001
  • 2. 天水师范学院 数学与统计学院,甘肃 天水 741001||首都经济贸易大学 统计学院,北京 100070
  • 3. 首都经济贸易大学 统计学院,北京 100070
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper constructs the order-preserving principal component evaluation method integrating the importance of the first-level indicators,and measures China's population quality and decomposes the spatial and structural differences.The re-sults go as below:In terms of population quality ranking,Beijing,Shanghai and Tianjin are firmly in the top 3;Yunnan,Xinjiang,Guizhou,Gansu,and Qinghai rank at the bottom.The COVID-19 epidemic has little impact on population quality;from 2019 to 2020,only the population quality of Inner Mongolia has declined slightly.The population quality of the three major regions de-creases from the east to the west.China's population quality presents a phenomenon of spatial agglomeration,with large regional differences and declining fluctuations,from high to low in the western region,the eastern region and the central region.From the structural decomposition of population quality difference,the ideological and moral contribution of eastern region,central region and inter-region(2013-2016)is negative,and the western region is the opposite.The contribution rate of the eastern and inter-re-gional scientific culture is higher,followed by the scientific culture of western region and inter-regional physical fitness.Geo-graphical location and per capita GDP have a significant impact on the difference of population quality,and the explanatory power of population quality is scientific culture,physical fitness,ideology and morality in order from high to low.

关键词

人口质量/基尼系数/加权变异系数/地理探测器/莫兰指数

Key words

population quality/Gini coefficient/weighted coefficient of variation/geographic detector/Moran's index

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

王丙参,魏艳华,马立平..中国人口质量测度与地区差异分解[J].统计与决策,2024,40(24):54-59,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(12071308) (12071308)

天水师范学院高层次人才科研项目(KYQ2023-13) (KYQ2023-13)

统计与决策

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-6487

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