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2000-2020年广东省人口老龄化时空格局演变及其影响因素

杨雅瑜 尹发能

天津师范大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.44Issue(6):65-74,10.
天津师范大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.44Issue(6):65-74,10.DOI:10.19638/j.issn1671-1114.20240608

2000-2020年广东省人口老龄化时空格局演变及其影响因素

Evolution of the spatial and temporal patterns of population ageing and its influencing factors in Guangdong Province from 2000 to 2020

杨雅瑜 1尹发能1

作者信息

  • 1. 湖北师范大学城市与环境学院,湖北黄石 435000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to study the evolution law of population aging in economically developed areas,the spatial differentiation and the influencing factors of population ageing in Guangdong counties were studied using spatial autocorrelation,standard deviation ellipse,geodetector and geographically weighted regression taking 118 counties in Guangdong Province as the research area based on the data of the fifth,sixth and seventh population censuses.The results show that:① The population ageing in Guangdong Province is at a low level in the whole country,but there are significant differences within the region,and a semi-ring and circle type distribution has basically formed,and the ageing degree has gradually intensified over the past 21 years.② The distribution of ageing population first concentrated and then dispersed,but always showed a southwest-northeast distribution.③ There is a significant positive correlation between the ageing coefficients of counties in Guangdong Province,and the number of cold and hot spots of population ageing is gradually increasing with the cold spot areas are stable in some counties in the Pearl River Delta,and the hot spot areas are changing by leaps and bounds.④ The population separation from households,natural population growth rate and average life expectancy are the main factors affect the ageing of Guangdong Province,and the population ageing of Guangdong Province is the result of cyclic feedback of multiple factors.

关键词

人口老龄化/影响因素/标准差椭圆/地理探测器/广东省

Key words

population ageing/influence factor/standard deviation ellipses/geodetector/Guangdong Province

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

杨雅瑜,尹发能..2000-2020年广东省人口老龄化时空格局演变及其影响因素[J].天津师范大学学报(自然科学版),2024,44(6):65-74,10.

基金项目

湖北省社科基金一般项目(后期资助项目)(2021153). (后期资助项目)

天津师范大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-1114

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