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台风灾害影响的产业链跨部门传导机制

林舒婷 夏琳琳 王晓明 梁赛

灾害学2025,Vol.40Issue(1):213-219,7.
灾害学2025,Vol.40Issue(1):213-219,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2025.01.033

台风灾害影响的产业链跨部门传导机制

Intersectoral Transmission Mechanism of Typhoon Disaster Impacts across Economic Supply Chains

林舒婷 1夏琳琳 1王晓明 2梁赛1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东工业大学 生态环境与资源学院 湾区生态安全与绿色发展基础研究卓越中心 大湾区城市环境安全与绿色发展教育部重点实验室,广东 广州 510006
  • 2. 中国科学院 西北生态环境资源研究院 冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 730000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Extreme weather events have cascading impacts on the economic system through the supply chain.Existing studies focus on the impacts assessment of extreme weather events.However,the intersectoral transmission mechanism of the impact of extreme weather events across the economic supply chains remains unclear.Taking Typhoon Hato as a case,based on integration of the adaptive regional input-output model,structural path analysis and betweenness centrality,the intersectoral transmission mechanism of typhoon impacts on Guangdong province across the supply chain is revealed.Re-sults show that Typhoon Hato has led to a total of CNY 31 billion of economic losses to Guangdong province,of which indi-rect losses accounted for 13%.During the occurrence of typhoon disasters,the critical transmission paths of economic loss-es are closely related to the construction industry,such as the nonmetal products industry → construction industry.Key transmission sectors include the electronic equipment industry as well as the metallurgy industry.Typical intersectoral links include the metallurgy industry → construction industry.With the advancement of the reconstruction work,the metal min-ing,financial,and real estate sectors would reap economic benefits from the reconstruction demand.This study can point out the focus of policy decision-making on strengthening intersectoral cooperation to improve the disaster adaptability of the supply chain and the allocation of post-disaster reconstruction funds.

关键词

极端天气事件/台风/经济影响/投入产出分析/产业链

Key words

extreme weather event/typhoon/economic impact/input-output analysis/supply chain

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

林舒婷,夏琳琳,王晓明,梁赛..台风灾害影响的产业链跨部门传导机制[J].灾害学,2025,40(1):213-219,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目"气候变化对社会经济系统的影响机制与风险评估"(72293602) (72293602)

"区域生态环境问题系统分析"(52325005) (52325005)

"极端天气对营养安全的跨区域级联影响"(12411530116). (12411530116)

灾害学

OA北大核心

1000-811X

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