灾害学2025,Vol.40Issue(1):213-219,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2025.01.033
台风灾害影响的产业链跨部门传导机制
Intersectoral Transmission Mechanism of Typhoon Disaster Impacts across Economic Supply Chains
摘要
Abstract
Extreme weather events have cascading impacts on the economic system through the supply chain.Existing studies focus on the impacts assessment of extreme weather events.However,the intersectoral transmission mechanism of the impact of extreme weather events across the economic supply chains remains unclear.Taking Typhoon Hato as a case,based on integration of the adaptive regional input-output model,structural path analysis and betweenness centrality,the intersectoral transmission mechanism of typhoon impacts on Guangdong province across the supply chain is revealed.Re-sults show that Typhoon Hato has led to a total of CNY 31 billion of economic losses to Guangdong province,of which indi-rect losses accounted for 13%.During the occurrence of typhoon disasters,the critical transmission paths of economic loss-es are closely related to the construction industry,such as the nonmetal products industry → construction industry.Key transmission sectors include the electronic equipment industry as well as the metallurgy industry.Typical intersectoral links include the metallurgy industry → construction industry.With the advancement of the reconstruction work,the metal min-ing,financial,and real estate sectors would reap economic benefits from the reconstruction demand.This study can point out the focus of policy decision-making on strengthening intersectoral cooperation to improve the disaster adaptability of the supply chain and the allocation of post-disaster reconstruction funds.关键词
极端天气事件/台风/经济影响/投入产出分析/产业链Key words
extreme weather event/typhoon/economic impact/input-output analysis/supply chain分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
林舒婷,夏琳琳,王晓明,梁赛..台风灾害影响的产业链跨部门传导机制[J].灾害学,2025,40(1):213-219,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"气候变化对社会经济系统的影响机制与风险评估"(72293602) (72293602)
"区域生态环境问题系统分析"(52325005) (52325005)
"极端天气对营养安全的跨区域级联影响"(12411530116). (12411530116)