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极端天气冲击下应急电力支援的跨区域容量机制

吴梓凤 袁家海 张健 张浩楠

电力建设2025,Vol.46Issue(1):48-57,10.
电力建设2025,Vol.46Issue(1):48-57,10.DOI:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2025.01.005

极端天气冲击下应急电力支援的跨区域容量机制

Cross-Regional Capacity Mechanism for Emergency Power Support in Extreme Weather Events

吴梓凤 1袁家海 2张健 2张浩楠3

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京市 102206
  • 2. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京市 102206||新能源电力与低碳发展研究北京市重点实验室(华北电力大学),北京市 102206
  • 3. 华北电力大学(保定)经济管理系,河北省 保定市 071003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events pose significant challenges to power system security.The expedited development of cross-regional capacity mechanisms has emerged as an effective strategy to improve the emergency response capabilities of power systems and ensure a reliable power supply.First,the effects of extreme weather on power systems are discussed,followed by a review of pilot implementations of capacity mechanisms across various locations in China.Based on cross-regional supply and demand theory,the architectural design of the cross-regional capacity mechanism is enhanced by incorporating three critical components:mechanism boundaries and regulations,lower and upper bounds of the capacity compensation price,and frameworks for responsibility and penalties.Subsequently,a novel cross-regional emergency power support capacity price model is developed,integrating the cost of the new entry(CONE)model,net income per unit of installed capacity,and the Value of Lost Load indicator.Furthermore,a scenario-based analysis is applied to determine the lower and upper bounds of the capacity compensation price for coal-fired power units participating in cross-regional emergency power support within the electricity market during extreme weather conditions.The results indicate that the lower bound of the capacity compensation price represents 30%-70%of the fixed costs of a coal power unit,aligning with the short-to medium-term tariff structure outlined by China's present coal power capacity mechanism(30%-50%).The upper bound of the capacity compensation price must be adjusted upward to signal a capacity shortage,as reflected in the increasing loss of load expectation(LOLE).Finally,targeted recommendations for optimizing capacity mechanisms are presented.

关键词

极端天气/容量机制/跨区域配置/煤电机组/电力市场

Key words

extreme weather/capacity mechanism/cross-regional configuration/coal power units/electricity market

分类

动力与电气工程

引用本文复制引用

吴梓凤,袁家海,张健,张浩楠..极端天气冲击下应急电力支援的跨区域容量机制[J].电力建设,2025,46(1):48-57,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(72173043) (72173043)

国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(72303064) (72303064)

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2023MS152) This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72173043),the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72303064)and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2023MS152). (2023MS152)

电力建设

OA北大核心

1000-7229

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