国际石油经济2024，Vol.32Issue(12)：7-13,7.
特朗普上台对全球经济、地缘政治和油气市场的影响
The impact of Trump's presidency on the global economy,geopolitics,and oil&gas markets
张庆辰 1张震 2苏红卫 3田果 1曹淯翔1
作者信息
- 1. 中国石油天然气股份有限公司规划总院
- 2. 中国石油天然气集团有限公司政策研究室
- 3. 中国石油浙江销售分公司
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States,advocating expansionary fiscal policy,protective economic and trade policy,"America First"foreign policy,supporting traditional energy and inhibiting the development of clean energy.After Trump comes to power,the imposition of tariffs will significantly inhibit international trade,dragging down global economic growth and imposing the reshaping pressure on global industrial chain and supply chain.The United States may face"reflation",indirectly changing the Federal Reserve's path of interest rate cuts.It will reshape the geopolitical landscape and exacerbate the volatility of the oil and gas market.China's economy will be affected by the impact of the US tariffs,but the negative impact may be less than the previous round.It is recommended that China improve the domestic mechanism and policy system by seizing the"window period",promote efforts to increase oil and gas reserves and production,make full use of multilateral platforms to carry out energy diplomacy,build an energy security community,and safeguard energy security.China's petroleum and petrochemical enterprises should study geopolitical risks in depth,strengthen the lean operation and cooperation depth of overseas business,and make a good plan to cope with the downward shift of the oil price pivot and the increased volatility.关键词
美国大选/特朗普执政/全球经济/地缘政治/油气市场/能源政策/能源安全Key words
U.S.presidential election/Trump's Administration/global economy/geopolitics/oil and gas markets/energy policy/energy security分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
张庆辰,张震,苏红卫,田果,曹淯翔..特朗普上台对全球经济、地缘政治和油气市场的影响[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(12):7-13,7.
