人民黄河2025,Vol.47Issue(1):35-41,66,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.01.006
黄河流域生态韧性与经济高质量发展协同演化规律研究
Study on the Co-Evolutionary Patterns of Ecological Resilience and High-Quality Economic Development in the Yellow River Basin
摘要
Abstract
In order to explore the synergistic relationship and evolutionary patterns between ecological resilience and high-quality economic development in the Yellow River Basin,we first conducted a theoretical analysis of their co-evolution.An evaluation index system for ecologi-cal resilience was built based on three dimensions of resistance,adaptability and recovery.Similarly,an evaluation index system for high-quality economic development was established based on four dimensions of economic scale,economic efficiency,economic structure and eco-nomic sustainability.Using the period from 2012 to 2022 as the study timeframe and the nine provinces(regions)of the Yellow River Basin as the calculation units,the entropy-weight TOPSIS method was employed to measure the annual ecological resilience and high-quality eco-nomic development capacity of each province(region).The Haken model was then used to calculate the annual synergy level between ecolog-ical resilience and high-quality economic development for each province(region).The results indicate that a)overall ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin is higher than the capacity for high-quality economic development throughout the study period,showing a steady up-ward trend.The capacity for high-quality economic development is increased steadily from 2012 to 2019,with slight fluctuations from 2020 to 2022.b)The ecological resilience-high quality economic development composite system of the Yellow River Basin is still at a low-level order-ly stage.In the process of their co-evolution,the capacity for high-quality economic development acts as the order parameter,guiding the path and direction of synergistic development and exerting a synergistic enhancement effect on ecological resilience.However,ecological re-silience has a slightly inhibitory effect on high-quality economic development.c)The level of synergy between ecological resilience and high-quality economic development in the Yellow River Basin shows a steady upward trend during the study period,with a spatial pattern of higher levels in the east and lower levels in the west.The differences in synergy levels among the provinces(regions)are significant before 2018,and are narrowed after 2018.关键词
生态韧性/经济高质量发展/协同/哈肯模型/黄河流域Key words
ecosystem resilience/high-quality economic development/co-evolution/Harken model/Yellow River Basin分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
赵丹宁,薛晔,冯梅..黄河流域生态韧性与经济高质量发展协同演化规律研究[J].人民黄河,2025,47(1):35-41,66,8.基金项目
住房和城乡建设部2020年科学技术项目(2020-R-007) (2020-R-007)
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(20YJAZH116) (20YJAZH116)