"一带一路"沿线国家食物贸易网络格局及其影响因素OA
Network Patterns and Influence Factors of Food Trade in the Countries Along the Belt and Road
基于社会网络分析方法,构建"一带一路"沿线国家食物原料和食物加工品贸易网络,解析贸易网络结构特征的演变,探究贸易关系形成和强度变化的影响因素,以期为区域食物贸易合作战略的制定提供科学支撑.研究表明:1)"一带一路"沿线国家间食物贸易规模快速扩大,网络的整体紧密性、凝聚程度和连通性不断增强;2)中国是食物加工品贸易网络的绝对核心,并与俄罗斯、土耳其、印度、阿联酋共同形成食物原料贸易网络的核心,核心国家贸易关联广泛而规模庞大,对区域内食物流通起到控制作用;3)2009-2019年,食物贸易网络中的各个组团呈现分离重组特征,食物原料网络中的贸易大国陆续脱离原组团而跨区域组合,食物加工品网络中的国家节点则被东南亚组团和中俄组团不断吸附;4)食物贸易联系存在大国效应和地理邻近效应,自由贸易协定的签署和语言文化、物流水平的邻近有助于国家间食物贸易强度的提高.建议中国加快构建高标准自由贸易区网络,由近及远推动共建"一带一路"食物贸易通道,增强沿线国家的文化交流,以促进与食物贸易网络核心国家的贸易合作,多元化食物进出口渠道的同时提升在区域食物供应安全中的影响力.
Based on social network analysis,this paper constructs trade networks for the food material and processed food trade networks of countries along the Belt and Road.Then we analyze the evolution of their structure characters as well as the influence fac-tors of the trade relation formation and trade scale variation,in order to provide scientific support for the formulation of cooperation strategies for the regional food trade.The research shows that:1)The food trade scale has been expanding rapidly among countries a-long the Belt and Road.The tightness,cohesion and connectedness of food trade networks have also been increasing.2)China is the absolute core of processed food trade networks and it has also been located at the central position of the trade network for the food mate-rial with Russia,Turkey,India and United Arab Emirates.These core countries have extensive and large-scale trade contacts,and control the regional food distribution.3)The clusters in food trade networks present a notable feature of separation and reorganization from 2009 to 2019.In food material trade networks,major importers and exporters exit their original clusters gradually to form a cross-regional cluster,while the country nodes in trade networks for the processed food have been adsorbed in Southeast Asia cluster or Chi-na-Russia cluster.4)There exist"large-country effect"and"geographical proximity effect"in food trade relationships.The signature of free trade agreement and the proximity of language culture as well as physical distribution could expand the scale of food trade activi-ties.It is suggested that China speed up the construction of high-level free trade zones,advance the joint development of food trade route,and strengthen the cultural exchang along the Belt and Road,to further promote trade cooperation with core countries,diversify food import and export channel as well as increasing the influence of regional safety of food supply.
汪夏清;刘羲;项潇智;薛晟
四川师范大学地理与资源科学学院,四川成都 610101四川师范大学地理与资源科学学院,四川成都 610101四川师范大学地理与资源科学学院,四川成都 610101青海省第四地质勘查院,青海西宁 810001
经济学
食物贸易网络格局演变社会网络分析影响因素"一带一路"沿线国家
food trade networkevolution of network patterninfluence factorsocial network analysiscountries along the Belt and Road
《四川师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025 (2)
220-230,11
国家自然科学基金(42201335)
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