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1960-2016年三峡库区降水时空变化特征研究

孙奇石 顾朝军

中国防汛抗旱2024,Vol.34Issue(12):101-107,7.
中国防汛抗旱2024,Vol.34Issue(12):101-107,7.DOI:10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023424

1960-2016年三峡库区降水时空变化特征研究

Spatio-temporal variation of precipitation in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area from 1960 to 2016

孙奇石 1顾朝军1

作者信息

  • 1. 水利部长江水利委员会长江流域水土保持监测中心站,武汉 430012
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摘要

Abstract

Under the background of global warming,regional precipitation changes obviously,which has an important impact on the ecological environment.this paper investigated the change characteristics of 11 precipitation indexes by using linear trend rate,MK trend test and spatial interpolation methods,based on the daily precipitation data of 23 weather stations in the Three Gorges Reservoir area and its surrounding areas.The results showed that six precipitation indexes(PRCPTOT,CDD,CWD,R10,R20 and RX5day)in the Three Gorges Reservoir area showed a decreasing trend,and CWD showed a significant decreasing trend with a decreasing rate of 0.20 d/(10 a).Five precipitation indexes(R50,R95p,R99p,RX1day and SDII)showed no significant upward trend.The spatial distribution pattern of PRCPTOT,R10,R20,R50 and RX5day showed a high value in the central part and low in the southwest and northeast part.CDD and SDII gradually increased from southwest to northeast,while the spatial pattern of CWD,R95p,R99p and RX1day was not obvious.Compared with 1960-2003,the variation range in extreme precipitation indexes such as R50,R95p,R99p,RX1day,RX5day and SDII from 2004 to 2016 was greater than that of the other indexes.

关键词

极端降水/趋势/时空变化/三峡库区

Key words

extreme precipitation/trend/spatio-temporal variation/Three Gorges Reservoir Region

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

孙奇石,顾朝军..1960-2016年三峡库区降水时空变化特征研究[J].中国防汛抗旱,2024,34(12):101-107,7.

中国防汛抗旱

1673-9264

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