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基于灰色模型(GM)预测和Logistic回归模型的二河闸安全预警评价分析

王俊 周威 杨雨峤 赵倩 朱洪

江苏水利Issue(1):14-20,7.
江苏水利Issue(1):14-20,7.

基于灰色模型(GM)预测和Logistic回归模型的二河闸安全预警评价分析

Analysis of safety warning and evaluation of Erhe Sluice based on GM prediction and Logistic regression model

王俊 1周威 2杨雨峤 2赵倩 2朱洪2

作者信息

  • 1. 江苏省通榆河蔷薇河送清水工程管理处,江苏淮安 223001
  • 2. 江苏省淮沭新河管理处,江苏淮安 223001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Taking the Erhe Sluice Project as an example,this study proposes a comprehensive water gate safety warning and evaluation scheme that integrates two methods through the application principles of GM prediction and Logistic regression models.The early warning model is used for the safety warning of Erhe Sluice and to evaluate its safety.The reliability of the research method is verified by combining actual safety monitoring data.The results indicate that the operation status and trend prediction of the water gate based on this research method are relatively accurate and can serve as a basis for water gate safety management.This study has guiding significance for the safety warning evaluation of water gates.

关键词

GM/Logistic回归/预警/预测/安全/二河闸

Key words

GM/Logistic regression/warning/prediction/safety/Erhe Sluice

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

王俊,周威,杨雨峤,赵倩,朱洪..基于灰色模型(GM)预测和Logistic回归模型的二河闸安全预警评价分析[J].江苏水利,2025,(1):14-20,7.

江苏水利

1007-7839

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