辽宁大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.51Issue(4)：349-359,11.
基于MCR与FLUS的新安江流域城市开发边界划定研究
Research on the Delineation of Urban Development Boundary in the Xin'an River Basin Based on MCR and FLUS
摘要
Abstract
In order to control the disorderly sprawl of the city and guide the rational expansion of the city,it is necessary to formulate a reasonable urban development boundary from the perspective of spatial planning.Taking the Xin'an River Basin as the study area,this paper proposes a new method for delineating urban development boundaries from the perspectives of urban expansion and urban spatial evolution,coupling the minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model and the future land use simulation(FLUS)model,and taking the idea of combining resistance and dynamics,to predict urban expansion in 2030 and 2040 on the basis of dividing the suitability level of urban expansion,so as to comprehensively delineate the urban development boundary.The results show that:1)The Kappa coefficient of urban expansion simulation is 0.81,and the overall accuracy is 89.55%,which can better reflect the future land change;2)The expansion range of different cities was different,and the obvious expansion was Hangzhou,Quzhou and Jinhua;3)The delineation of the urban development boundary by integrating the two aspects of power and resistance is more in line with the law of spatial expansion and evolution of the study area,and can truly show the development status of the urban development boundary in the study area.关键词
城市开发边界/新安江流域/MCR模型/FLUS模型Key words
urban development boundaries/Xin'an River Basin/minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model/future land use simulation(FLUS)model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
雷蕾,蔡俊,宋小杰..基于MCR与FLUS的新安江流域城市开发边界划定研究[J].辽宁大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,51(4):349-359,11.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(71203054) （71203054）
安徽农业大学2021年安徽乡村振兴战略研究中心项目(校科字[2021]10号) （校科字[2021]10号）
