铁道运输与经济2025，Vol.47Issue(1)：13-30,18.DOI:10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.2025.01.02
风险演化研究综述及其在轨道交通领域的应用与探讨
Review of Risk Evolution Research and Its Application and Discussion in Rail Transit
摘要
Abstract
Risk connotation analysis and risk evolution mechanism are currently hot issues in risk management research.In this study,the bibliometric method and content analysis were adopted to construct a co-occurrence network diagram of risk evolution at home and abroad,and the research characteristics and distribution of hot topics in risk evolution were comprehensively analyzed.The result shows that risk evolution mainly focused on four hot topics:risk analysis and safety assessment based on graph theory,risk assessment based on system theory,risk prediction and failure analysis based on machine learning,and risk transmission and fault analysis based on simulation and modeling.The risk management framework was constructed,and the risk evolution methodology was systematically analyzed and proposed.The risk evolution research method was elaborated from five aspects:system theory,causal logic,graph theory,modeling and simulation,and machine learning.Finally,the problems and challenges of the current risk evolution in rail transit were analyzed,and the future research trend was explored.The study can provide an academic reference for the construction of risk prevention and control theory systems and technology application practice in safety production.关键词
风险演化/轨道交通/动态风险/图论/系统论/机器学习/仿真建模Key words
Risk Evolution/Rail Transit/Dynamic Risk/Graph Theory/System Theory/Machine Learning/Simulation and Modeling分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
李曼,刘贵源,王艳辉,贾利民,郭湛,张坤..风险演化研究综述及其在轨道交通领域的应用与探讨[J].铁道运输与经济,2025,47(1):13-30,18.基金项目
中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(P2023T002-5) （P2023T002-5）
中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司铁道科学技术研究发展中心创新基金项目(2023YF002) （2023YF002）
