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基于全生命周期的轨道交通产业集群供应链碳排放测算与影响因素分析

杨颖 梁洁林 李佳霖 薛锋

铁道运输与经济2025,Vol.47Issue(1):31-39,9.
铁道运输与经济2025,Vol.47Issue(1):31-39,9.DOI:10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.2025.01.03

基于全生命周期的轨道交通产业集群供应链碳排放测算与影响因素分析

Carbon Emission Estimation and Influencing Factors Analysis of Supply Chain of Rail Transit Industry Clusters Based on Life Cycle

杨颖 1梁洁林 1李佳霖 1薛锋2

作者信息

  • 1. 西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,四川 成都 611756
  • 2. 西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,四川 成都 611756||西南交通大学 综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,四川 成都 611756
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Against the backdrop of carbon peak and carbon neutrality,the boundary of the carbon emissions throughout the life cycle of the supply chain of rail transit industry clusters was defined based on the life cycle theory,and the life cycle of the supply chain of rail transit industry clusters was divided into upstream,midstream,and downstream stages.On this basis,the total CO2 emissions of the supply chain of rail transit industry clusters in Sichuan Province in 2020 were calculated to be 11.496 3 million tons.The Kaya identity was introduced,and influencing factors such as carbon emission intensity,energy structure,and energy intensity were comprehensively considered.The LMDI decomposition method was used to process the carbon emission data of the supply chain of rail transit industry clusters in Sichuan Province from 2010 to 2020.The results show that energy intensity,economic output,and population factors mostly have positive effects on total carbon emission,and energy intensity and industrial structure mostly have negative effects and are the biggest influencing factors.Therefore,the paper provides countermeasures and suggestions for supporting the low-carbon transition of the supply chain of rail transit industry clusters from three aspects:optimizing the energy structure and energy intensity,adjusting the industrial structure,and establishing a carbon emission monitoring and evaluation mechanism.

关键词

轨道交通产业/集群供应链/全生命周期/碳排放测算/LMDI分解法

Key words

Rail Transit Industry/Supply Chain of Cluster/Life Cycle/Carbon Emission Estimation/LMDI

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

杨颖,梁洁林,李佳霖,薛锋..基于全生命周期的轨道交通产业集群供应链碳排放测算与影响因素分析[J].铁道运输与经济,2025,47(1):31-39,9.

基金项目

四川省哲学社会科学基金项目(SCJJ24ND067) (SCJJ24ND067)

成都市软科学研究项目(2023-RK00-00166-ZF) (2023-RK00-00166-ZF)

四川省社会科学重点研究基地——系统科学与企业发展研究中心规划项目(Xq23C09) (Xq23C09)

铁道运输与经济

OA北大核心

1003-1421

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