人民黄河2025，Vol.47Issue(2)：60-66,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.02.009
山洪灾害风险空间分异性评估及其驱动力研究
Study on Spatial Differentiation Assessment and Driving Force of Flash Flood Disaster Risk
摘要
Abstract
It is of practical significance for flood risk prevention and response to carry out mountain flood risk assessment and its driving force analysis.Therefore,this paper took Shanxi Province with frequent floods as an example,used the analytic hierarchy process to effectively i-dentify the flood risk level and its spatial differentiation characteristics,and used the global and local Moran's indexes to explore its spatial aggregation(discrete)location and distribution law.Finally,the driving mechanism behind the flood risk was explored by using the geo-graphic detector technology.The results show that the annual maximum 24-hour rainfall,multi-year average rainfall and NDVI factors are im-portant factors causing flood differentiation,and their explanatory power q values are as high as 0.57,0.52 and 0.24,respectively.The multi-risk two-factor interaction has a significant impact on flood risk,and it is enhanced or non-linearly enhanced,especially the interaction be-tween rainfall and slope factors,with a q value of 0.71.关键词
山洪灾害/致灾因子/风险评估/空间自相关性/山西省Key words
mountain flood disasters/disaster causing factors/risk assessment/spatial autocorrelation/Shanxi Province分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
宿辉,武春晓,周帅,张晓,白志辉,韩小庆,张婷..山洪灾害风险空间分异性评估及其驱动力研究[J].人民黄河,2025,47(2):60-66,7.基金项目
2023年度河北省高等学校科学研究项目(QN2023064) （QN2023064）
河北省自然科学基金青年项目(E2023402016) （E2023402016）
河北省水利科技计划项目(2018-41) （2018-41）
