太阳能Issue(1)：60-69,10.DOI:10.19911/j.1003-0417.tyn20240308.01
集中式新能源功率预测系统设计与实现
DESIGN AND APPLICATION OF CENTRALIZED NEW ENERGY POWER PREDICTION SYSTEM
摘要
Abstract
The stability and accuracy of power forecasting in new energy power stations directly impact the safe scheduling of the power grid and the production and operations of the stations.To address industry challenges,a centralized new energy power prediction system targeting wind power and PV power generation has been designed in this paper.Initially,the system architecture is constructed,which includes application levels with cloud end,centralized control end,and station end,a network environment with three security zones,and using dual-link transmission mechanism of network architecture,centralized application architecture,and microservice technology architecture.Subsequently,software development technical selection is carried out,studying highly available solutions and buried point monitoring solutions is designed.Finally,five core algorithms are proposed.The application effect shows that the power prediction system operates stably and has good economic value.After the practical application of the prediction system in six wind farms in a certain province,the short-term and ultra-short-term power prediction improved by 6.2%and 2.2%respectively,and the data reporting rate reached 100%.关键词
集中式/新能源功率预测/风电/光伏发电/双链路/高可用性/埋点监控/预测算法Key words
centralized type/new energy power prediction/wind power/PV power generation/dual-link/high availability/buried point monitoring/prediction algorithm分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
袁兴德,曾垂宽,彭喆,杨东升,梁卉林..集中式新能源功率预测系统设计与实现[J].太阳能,2025,(1):60-69,10.基金项目
华润电力科技研发项目(CRP-R&D-LX-2023-003) （CRP-R&D-LX-2023-003）
