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基于梯度提升回归树负荷预测的水蓄冷空调系统运行优化

李玲荣 贾志洋 薛琪 吕远 王江情 晋欣桥

制冷技术2024,Vol.44Issue(5):9-15,7.
制冷技术2024,Vol.44Issue(5):9-15,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-4468.2024.05.102

基于梯度提升回归树负荷预测的水蓄冷空调系统运行优化

Operation Optimization for Chilled Water Storage Air Conditioning System Based on Load Prediction Using Gradient Boosting Regression Tree

李玲荣 1贾志洋 1薛琪 1吕远 1王江情 1晋欣桥1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院,上海 200240
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In this paper,an operation optimization strategy for water storage air conditioning system based on hyperparameter optimization load prediction is proposed.The Gradient Boosting Regression Tree algorithm is used to establish the load prediction model,and the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator algorithm based on Bayesian optimization is used for hyperparameter optimization.Based on the load prediction results,the start-stop combination of the chillers and the charging/discharging capacity are optimized,to optimize the operation of the water storage air conditioning system.Taking the air conditioning system of a factory as the research object,a water storage system is added,and the proposed optimization operation strategy is verified.Compared with the original system,the average daily performance coefficients of the three typical days of high,medium and low load are increased by 4.84%,3.55%and 2.67%,respectively,and the energy saving rates are 4.60%,3.14%and 2.48%,respectively.

关键词

水蓄冷/负荷预测/超参数优化/运行优化

Key words

Water storage/Load prediction/Hyperparameter optimization/Operation optimization

分类

通用工业技术

引用本文复制引用

李玲荣,贾志洋,薛琪,吕远,王江情,晋欣桥..基于梯度提升回归树负荷预测的水蓄冷空调系统运行优化[J].制冷技术,2024,44(5):9-15,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(No.51776118). (No.51776118)

制冷技术

2095-4468

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