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"嵌入式"安全:美国能源转型的政治逻辑OA

"Embedded"security:the political logic of the U.S.energy transition

中文摘要英文摘要

美国能源转型中的安全底色呈现"嵌入式"特征,尽管能源转型进程随着美国总统更迭出现波动,但能源议题中的主逻辑始终未变.促成安全逻辑嵌入美国能源转型的原因主要包括美国的安全理念传统、能源问题的权力属性与美国制度的惯性.当前,美国主要通过"联动气候议题,建构生存安全""设置威胁情境,绑定核心利益""耦合绿色经济,拓展多维联系"3种路径实现安全的认知性、政治性、经济性嵌入,从而使得安全逻辑成功作用于美国能源转型全过程.安全逻辑嵌入美国能源转型将产生多维度、多方面的影响,包括加速美国能源转型进程、推动能源问题"泛安全化"、引发全球治理路径变革与碳排放波动.在低碳化与地缘冲击的复合作用下,预计未来较长一段时间内这一趋势将持续存在,理解这一问题有利于为预测美国能源政策走向提供线索.中国要对这一现象加以客观认知,重视"安全"工具在能源转型中的积极作用,同时保持战略定力,避免在与美国竞争中陷入"过度安全化"陷阱.

The security undertone in the energy transition of the United States is characterized by"embeddedness".Despite fluctuations in the energy transition process due to changes in the presidency,the main logic of the energy issue remains unchanged.Contributing to the security logic embedded in the U.S.energy transition is primarily related to the U.S.security concept tradition,the power attributes of the energy issue,and the inertia of the U.S.system.At present,the United States mainly links climate issues to construct existential security,sets up threatening situations to bind core interests,and couples green economies to expand multi-dimensional connections to realize the cognitive,political,and economic embedding of security,which enables the security logic to effectively permeate the entire energy transition process.The embedding of security logic in the U.S.energy transition will have a multidimensional and multifaceted impact,including accelerating the U.S.energy transition process,promoting the"pan-securitization"of energy issues,and triggering changes in the path of global governance and the volatility of carbon emissions.This trend is expected to continue for a long time under the compounding effects of decarbonization and geopolitical shocks,and understanding this issue can help predict the direction of U.S.energy policy.China should objectively recognize this phenomenon,pay attention to the positive role of"security"tools in the energy transition,and maintain strategic stability to avoid falling into the trap of"over-securitization"in competition with the United States.

黄云游

中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院

经济学

美国能源转型安全嵌入能源安全全球治理

United Statesenergy transitionsecure embeddingenergy securityglobal governance

《国际石油经济》 2025 (1)

11-28,18

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