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"双碳"背景下中国公路交通用能发展趋势及思考

仇玄 孔劲媛

国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(1):62-69,8.
国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(1):62-69,8.

"双碳"背景下中国公路交通用能发展趋势及思考

Trends and thoughts on the energy-consuming development of highway transportation in China under the background of"dual carbon"

仇玄 1孔劲媛1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油规划总院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The transportation sector is an important energy-consuming sector in China,generating about 15%of the country's total carbon emissions."Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030"has made specific deployments for the transportation sector,requiring it to accelerate the green and low-carbon transition.At present,China's highway transportation energy use is gradually transforming to a green and low-carbon direction.This is driven by with the rapid development of electricity,natural gas,and other energy sources,and high hopes for hydrogen energy,which has gradually formed the energy use structure of"gasoline and diesel as the mainstays,with accelerated penetration of gas and electricity,and methanol and hydrogen as minor supplements"in the field of transportation.Focusing to the future,a variety of alternative energies will enter the accelerated replacement cycle,especially electric power,natural gas,and other fuels which are more economical compared to gasoline and diesel,will enter the field of transportation at a faster rate.Hydrogen,methanol,and other energies that are not yet economically viable will be gradually demonstrated and promoted under the support of the policy.By 2035,electricity will become the main energy in China's highway transportation sector,accounting for about 52%of the energy mix,while natural gas will make up 15%,and gasoline and diesel will account for 33%.The transportation energy sector will thus enter an era of multi-polarity.In this development process,the petroleum and petrochemical industry needs to pay attention to the transition of end-user demand and accelerate the speed of transition.The development and integration of old and new industries,as well as issues related to the fairness of responsibilities and rights in the maintenance of various energy infrastructure networks,need to be re-examined and given attention by relevant departments.

关键词

交通运输/用能结构/汽柴油/液化天然气(LNG)/电力/氢能/车辆

Key words

transportation/energy consumption structure/gasoline and diesel/LNG/electricity/hydrogen energy/vehicles

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

仇玄,孔劲媛.."双碳"背景下中国公路交通用能发展趋势及思考[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(1):62-69,8.

国际石油经济

1004-7298

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