世界科学技术-中医药现代化2025，Vol.27Issue(1)：75-83,9.DOI:10.11842/wst.20240327004
野菊复合体生态适宜性分析及未来潜在产地布局预测
Ecological Suitability Analysis and Future Potential Habitat Layout Prediction for Chrysanthemum indicum Complex
摘要
Abstract
Objective To provide scientific basis for layout planning and standardized cultivation the species of Chrysanthemum indicum complex in future periods,the potential ecological suitable areas was analyzed,.Methods By collecting distribution data of 1379 valid C.indicum complex species nationwide and 104 ecological factors,combined with MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software,the potential ecological distribution areas of C.indicum complex under 17 different climate scenarios was analyzed.Results Precipitation and solar radiation are key environmental variables affecting the suitable habitats of C.indicum complex.The most suitable regions for the growth of C.indicum complex was concentrated in Hubei(C.indicum L.),Shanxi(C.lavandulifolium),Jiangsu(C.nankingense),and Hubei(C.indicum var.aromaticum)regions.Under different scenarios,the suitable habitat area for C.indicum L.and C.lavandulifolium showed an overall decreasing trend,while those for C.indicum var.aromaticum and C.nankingense showed an expanding trend.The centroid shift indicates sensitivity of C.indicum complex to climate change.Conclusion The potential distribution areas of C.indicum complex is classified into ecological suitability levels,providing important reference for the sustainable use,introduction cultivation,and scientific zoning of related resources.关键词
野菊复合体/神农香菊/MaxEnt/ArcGIS/生态适宜性Key words
C.indicum complex/C.indicum var.aromaticum/MaxEnt/ArcGIS/Ecological suitability分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
张海琼,朱明玉,池玉洁,刘义飞,胡志刚,张景景..野菊复合体生态适宜性分析及未来潜在产地布局预测[J].世界科学技术-中医药现代化,2025,27(1):75-83,9.基金项目
湖北省中医药管理局中医药科研项目(ZY2023F130):湖北两个菊属药典种野菊和菊花(福白菊)品质评价体系构建,负责人:张景景 （ZY2023F130）
国家自然科学基金委员会青年基金项目(31900267):不同生境条件下神农香菊萜类挥发性物质不稳定产生的分子机制研究,负责人:张景景. （31900267）
