中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）2025，Vol.41Issue(1)：1-10,10.DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2025.01.0001
物质平衡原则下的碳排放绩效驱动因素研究
A Study on the Driving Factors of Carbon Emission Performance under the Principle of Material Balance:Empirical Evidence from 78 Economies around the World
摘要
Abstract
Based on the material balance principle,this paper employed DEA model that sets energy and carbon emission as weak dis-posable to measure the carbon emission performance of 78 economies in the world from 2012 to 2019.Then,the carbon emission per-formance changes of the economies are decomposed into technological effects,extra scale adjustment effects,and structural effects.The LMDI decomposition method is used to analyze the contributions of these three effects to the improvement of carbon emission perform-ance.Our results show that from 2012 to 2019,the overall carbon emission performance of 78 economies increased by 5.9%,with e-conomies that have achieved emission peaks increasing by 22.0%and economies that have not reached their peaks decreasing by 11.1%.For these two types of economies,technological and structural effects are the main factors driving changes in carbon emission performance.This article further examines the driving factors of carbon emission performance in the top 10 countries with the highest global carbon emissions.The driving factors for carbon emission performance in the United States and Japan are mainly adjustment effects.They are committed to seeking economic development models with lower carbon emissions while ensuring economic develop-ment.The driving factors for carbon emission performance in Germany and China are mainly structural effects.They are committed to optimizing the energy consumption structure and improving carbon emission performance through non fossil energy substitution.The driving factors for carbon emission performance in the four countries of Russia,Republic of Korea,India,and Indonesia are mainly technological effects.They can provide reference for countries that are striving to improve technological efficiency.The driving factors for carbon emission performance of Iran and Saudi Arabia are also mainly technological effects,but their effects are reversed.关键词
碳排放绩效/物质平衡/弱可处置/LMDI/国际比较Key words
carbon emission performance/materials balance/weak disposability/LMDI/international comparison分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王恰..物质平衡原则下的碳排放绩效驱动因素研究[J].中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2025,41(1):1-10,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目(72303240) （72303240）
中国社会科学院经济大数据与政策评估实验室(2024SYZH004) （2024SYZH004）
