干旱区地理2025，Vol.48Issue(2)：202-211,10.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.232
基于SD模型的巴彦淖尔市水资源供需平衡方案研究
Water resources supply and demand balance scheme of Bayannur City based on SD model
摘要
Abstract
With the development of the social economy,the contradiction between the supply and demand of ur-ban water resources has become increasingly prominent.Exploring the balance between urban water resource sup-ply and demand to achieve sustainable economic development has emerged as a critical issue in urban develop-ment planning.Based on the current state of local social development,four water resource supply-demand bal-ance schemes(steady-state equilibrium,economic growth,efficient utilization,and comprehensive coordination)were designed using the system dynamics method.The supply and demand situation of water resources in Bayan-nur City,Inner Mongolia,China from 2016 to 2035 was analyzed.The simulation results indicate that:(1)If Bay-annur City adopts the steady-state equilibrium or economic growth schemes,it will likely face a risk of water re-source supply failing to meet demand during 2018-2027.(2)The efficient utilization and integrated coordina-tion schemes can effectively mitigate this issue.(3)The comprehensive coordination scheme not only supports lo-cal economic development but also significantly reduces the water demand of agriculture,secondary industry,and tertiary industry,thereby alleviating the pressure on water supply and demand.This scheme can serve as the opti-mal approach for the future development and utilization of local water resources.关键词
系统动力学/水资源供需/水均衡/巴彦淖尔市Key words
system dynamics/water supply and demand/water balance/Bayannur City引用本文复制引用
王平顺,臧旭超,厚富来,田国良,李璐,韩学敏,董少刚..基于SD模型的巴彦淖尔市水资源供需平衡方案研究[J].干旱区地理,2025,48(2):202-211,10.基金项目
内蒙古自治区驻点城市生态环境保护治理攻坚"一市一策"综合解决方案项目基金(2022-YRUC-01-050205-01)资助 （2022-YRUC-01-050205-01）
