海洋预报2025，Vol.42Issue(1)：81-88,8.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2025.01.010
中国近海海域多模式海面风速预报评估
Assessment of multi-model sea surface wind speed forecasts in the nearshore areas of China
摘要
Abstract
Due to the scarcity of ocean observational data,researches on wind field forecasting assessment in these areas remains relatively rare.This study assesses the performance of the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)model implemented at the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)on forecasting sea surface wind speeds at lead times of 24,48,72,96 and 120 hours,in China's nearshore areas from January to July 2023,against the Integrated Forecasting System(IFS)of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,the Global Forecast System(GFS)of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and real-time buoy data.The results show that the WRF model has higher accuracy than the GFS and IFS models in several forecast periods.In high wind speed range,the WRF model is particularly well at 24 and 48 hours.关键词
数值模式/海面风/风速预报/浮标/评估Key words
numerical weather prediction/sea surface wind/wind speed forecasting/buoys/evaluation分类
大气科学引用本文复制引用
张弛,王久珂,魏立新,郭安博宇,黄焕卿,刘晓燕,陈剑桥..中国近海海域多模式海面风速预报评估[J].海洋预报,2025,42(1):81-88,8.基金项目
南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海)资助项目(SML2023SP212). （珠海）
