交通信息与安全2024，Vol.42Issue(6)：172-180,9.DOI:10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2024.06.018
公共卫生事件场景下轨道交通限流时乘客出行方式选择行为
Travel Mode Choice of Passengers Under Passenger Flow Control of Rail Transit During Public Health Events
摘要
Abstract
To lessen the negative effects of passenger flow control during major public health events,it is suggested to employ the short-distance buses to transport waiting passengers from the restricted-flow station to the nearby sta-tions that are operating normally.Travel mode choice of passengers toward the short-distance buses is modeled to analyze the feasibility of utilizing short-distance buses to reduce congestions at flow-restricted metro stations.A to-tal of 989 valid questionnaires are obtained using an online survey conducted among residents in Beijing,Shang-hai,Guangzhou,and Shenzhen,based on which a Logit model is established to analyze passengers'mode choices during the period of passenger flow control under major public health events.The model explores the determinants of passengers'choice between rail transit as a singular mode and the combined mode of short-distance buses and metro.Furthermore,the effects of passengers'preferences on the probability of choosing the combined travel mode under different levels of epidemic perceptions are also studied.The factors influencing the choices of travel modes of passengers among different cities and groups are compared.The results indicate that punctuality prefer-ence,comfort preference,and level of epidemic perception have a positive and significant effect on passengers'choice of the combined travel mode.Specifically,the preference toward punctuality has a significantly positive ef-fect on the travel mode choices of the residents in all the four cities,and it has the largest effect on passengers of long-distance and direct travels.Furthermore,the results of cross-impact analysis indicate that when the epidemic perception is at Level 2 or above,the probability of passengers with a significant preference toward punctuality and comfort choosing the combined travel mode is more than 57%and 53%,respectively.The findings imply that punc-tual and comfortable short-distance buses can effectively equilibrate passenger distribution among metro stations during major public health events.关键词
城市交通/公共交通/出行方式选择/Logit模型/限流Key words
urban transport/public transport/travel mode choice/Logit model/passenger flow control分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
窦雪萍,史璐,董冉,李同飞..公共卫生事件场景下轨道交通限流时乘客出行方式选择行为[J].交通信息与安全,2024,42(6):172-180,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(52002008)、北京市自然科学基金项目(9242002)、北京市社会科学基金项目(22GLC060)资助 （52002008）
