中国农业大学学报2025，Vol.30Issue(4)：286-299,14.DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2025.04.23
农业绿色发展对耕地利用碳排放强度的影响机制和空间效应
Impact mechanism and spatial effects of agricultural green development on carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use
摘要
Abstract
To explore the carbon reduction effect of agricultural green development on cultivated land use,this study constructs a theoretical analysis framework to analyze the impact of agricultural green development on the carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use.Using the benchmark regression models,mediation effect models,and spatial Durbin models,and based on panel data from 31 provinces from 2001 to 2022(Data do not include those of Hong Kong,Macau and Taiwan.The same below)this study analyzes the impact mechanism and spatial effects of agricultural green development on the carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use.The results indicate that:1)The overall level of agricultural green development increased from 0.154 in 2001 to 0.397 in 2022.There was a decreasing pattern among regions including the main grain sales area,the production and sales balance area,and the main grain production area;2)The carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use decreased from 3.264 t/10 000 yuan in 2001 to 0.717 t/10 000 yuan in 2022.There was a decreasing trend among regions in the main grain production areas,main grain sales areas,and production sales balance areas;3)Green development in agriculture reduced the carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use significantly.Green development in agriculture suppressed the carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use by promoting the application of green production technologies in agriculture;4)There was a spatial spillover effect of the inhibitory effect of green agricultural development on the carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use.Based on the above findings,this study proposes that it is necessary to strengthen inter-regional agricultural green cooperation,optimize precise carbon reduction practices on cultivated land,and promote the application of low-carbon production technologies to form a spatial joint carbon control pattern in the future.关键词
农业绿色发展/耕地利用碳排放强度/农业绿色生产技术/空间效应/MOA模型Key words
green development of agriculture/carbon emission intensity of cultivated land use/agricultural green production technology/spatial effects/MOA model分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
付舒斐,吕添贵,朱丽萌,赵巧,陈安莹..农业绿色发展对耕地利用碳排放强度的影响机制和空间效应[J].中国农业大学学报,2025,30(4):286-299,14.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(42261049) （42261049）
江西省自然科学基金项目(20232BAB203061) （20232BAB203061）
江西财经大学第十八届学生科研课题(20231019154104944) （20231019154104944）
