当代经济管理2025，Vol.47Issue(3)：41-52,12.DOI:10.13253/j.cnki.ddjjgl.2025.03.005
家庭老年照料、老年照料成本与农业转移人口市民化意愿
Family Elderly Care,Elderly Care Costs and the Willingness of the Agricultural Migrant Population to Be Urban Residents
摘要
Abstract
Based on the intersection scenario of population aging and the democratization of the agricultural migrant population in China,the association between family elder care and the willingness of the agricultural migrant population to be urbanized is empirically examined using multiple sets of data.The study finds that,first,the exodus of the rural labor force has not effectively alleviated the contradiction between the demand for elderly care and the insufficiency of family care resources.The family is still the main field of elderly care.Second,the effect of family elderly care burden is obvious,thus inhibiting the willingness of the agricultural migrant population to become city citizens.Third,heterogeneity analysis shows that the economic effect of family elderly care on the willingness of being urbanized is significantly different between groups and cities.The self-care ability of the elderly group and the improvement of basic public services for the elderly in cities will reduce the burden effect of family elder care.There is a non-linear relationship be-tween past mobility time frame and subsequent migration decision.Fourth,the mechanism test finds that the cost of elderly care is the underlying reason that inhibits the willingness of the agricultural migrant population to live in cities.Elevated elderly care costs will exacerbate the expected and actual pressures on the agricultural migrant population and dampen the willingness of such groups to live in cities.Fifth,utilizing the advantages of the digital economy,such as low cost and wide coverage,can promote data sharing and strengthen dynamic monitoring,and promote the design of sharing the cost of elderly care.The above conclusions can not only adjust the main body of responsibility for elderly care in the family,but also enhance the willingness and expected benefits of the agricultural migrant population;it can also reduce the general shock and objective potential risks in elderly care,and ac-celerate urban-rural integration and coordinated development in the region,so as to achieve twice the result with half the effort.关键词
家庭老年照料/农业转移人口/照料成本/市民化意愿/数字经济监测Key words
home-based elderly care/agricultural migrants/cost of care/willingness to be urban residents/digital economy monitor分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张永奇,单德朋..家庭老年照料、老年照料成本与农业转移人口市民化意愿[J].当代经济管理,2025,47(3):41-52,12.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重点项目"县域富民产业促进乡村振兴重点帮扶县农村中低收入群体增收对策研究"(23AJY015) （23AJY015）
西南民族大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(CNRMR20240004). （CNRMR20240004）
