干旱区地理2025，Vol.48Issue(3)：444-454,11.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.201
干旱区主要农作物生产时空格局演化及影响因素分析
Spatio-temporal pattern evolution and influencing factors of main crops production in arid region:A case of Xinjiang
摘要
Abstract
Agriculture in arid regions plays a vital role in advancing local socio-economic development and eco-logical sustainability,given the unique resource and environmental constraints.This study examines Xinjiang,China,as a case study,utilizing the center of gravity transfer model,locational Gini coefficient,comparative ad-vantage index,and global Moran's I index at the county level to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution and influ-encing factors of the six major crops from 2000 to 2020.The results indicate that:(1)Xinjiang's agricultural planting scale has been growing steadily from 2000 and 2020,and cotton,vegetables,and melons"advancing",grain,oil,and sugar crops"restreating"constitute the basic competitive situation of the major crops.(2)The pro-duction centers for the six major crops are predominantly located in the central and western regions of Xinjiang.The concentration of cotton,vegetables,and melon production has steadily increased,with production becoming concentrated in a relatively small number of counties.(3)At the national level,all six major crops exhibit efficien-cy comparative advantages.Cotton,sugar,and melon production demonstrate both scale and comprehensive com-parative advantages,with cotton showing a particularly pronounced scale advantage.At the regional level,most counties in Xinjiang lack comparative advantages in crop production.Counties with comparative advantages are primarily scale-dominated.(4)The evolution of Xinjiang's crop production pattern has been influenced by sever-al critical factors,including policy directives,technological advancements,and rising farmer incomes.关键词
农作物/时空格局/比较优势/干旱区/新疆Key words
crops/spatio-temporal pattern/comparative advantage/arid region/Xinjiang引用本文复制引用
王福红,夏咏..干旱区主要农作物生产时空格局演化及影响因素分析[J].干旱区地理,2025,48(3):444-454,11.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(24XTJ003) （24XTJ003）
新疆西甜瓜产业技术体系项目(XJARS-06) （XJARS-06）
新疆维吾尔自治区高校基本科研业务费科研项目(XEDU2024J045) （XEDU2024J045）
新疆社会经济统计与大数据应用研究中心项目(XJEDU2023J004) （XJEDU2023J004）
2024年新疆维吾尔自治区研究生教育创新计划项目(XJ2024G118)资助 （XJ2024G118）
