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基于LASSO回归模型的制造业工人非致命性职业伤害影响因素分析

肖颖衡 陆春花 钱娟 陈颖 谷一硕 杨泽云 丁道正 李丽萍 朱晓俊

环境与职业医学2025,Vol.42Issue(2):133-139,7.
环境与职业医学2025,Vol.42Issue(2):133-139,7.DOI:10.11836/JEOM24318

基于LASSO回归模型的制造业工人非致命性职业伤害影响因素分析

Impact factor selection for non-fatal occupational injuries among manufacturing workers by LASSO regression

肖颖衡 1陆春花 2钱娟 3陈颖 2谷一硕 4杨泽云 2丁道正 3李丽萍 5朱晓俊4

作者信息

  • 1. 国家卫生健康委职业安全卫生研究中心,国家卫生健康委粉尘危害工程防护重点实验室,北京 102308||汕头大学公共卫生学院,广东 汕头 515041
  • 2. 南通市疾病预防控制中心,江苏 南通 226007
  • 3. 宜兴市疾病预防控制中心,江苏宜兴 214206
  • 4. 国家卫生健康委职业安全卫生研究中心,国家卫生健康委粉尘危害工程防护重点实验室,北京 102308
  • 5. 汕头大学公共卫生学院,广东 汕头 515041
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Background]As a pillar industry in China,the manufacturing sector has a high incidence of non-fatal occupational injuries.The factors influencing non-fatal occupational injuries in this industry are closely related at various levels,including individual,equipment,environment,and management,making the analysis of these influ-encing factors complex. [Objective]To identify influencing factors of non-fatal occupational injuries among manufacturing workers,providing a basis for targeted interventions and surveillance. [Methods]A total of 2243 frontline workers from cable and shipbuilding enterprises were selected as study subjects to investigate the incidence of non-fatal occupational injuries and collect information at four levels:individual,equipment,management,and environment in past 12 months.Data balancing was performed using resampling,and LASSO regression was used to select factors of non-fatal occupa-tional injuries.The influence degree and type of variables were judged based on the magnitude of the estimated coefficients of each variable,where variables with estimated coefficients>0 are risk factors,and those<0 are protective factors.The area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)was used to test the performance of the model,with an AUC value>0.7 indicating good model performance. [Results]Among the 2243 frontline workers,males accounted for 77.7%(1742 out of 2243),with the main age range being 40-49 years old,representing 29.5%(661 out of 2243),82.7%of the workers(1854 out of 2243)were married,and 55.6%(1248 out of 2243)had a junior middle school education level.The average monthly income for 51.0%(1144 out of 2243)of the workers was between 5000 and 6999 Chinese Yuan.The incidence of non-fatal occupational injuries among the manufacturing workers was 8.4%(189/2243)in the past 12 months.Among the 22 factors associated with the occurrence of non-fatal occupational injuries(P<0.05),10 were individual-level fac-tors,including gender,smoking,alcohol consumption,colleague relationships,average exercise duration,job burnout,work fatigue,musculoskeletal disorders,cardiovascular diseases,and neurological and sensory organ diseases;3 were equipment-level factors,including equipment operability,hazardous workpieces,and safety hazards;5 were environmental-level factors,including low temperatures,special operations,noise,workspace size,and dirty and disorderly environment;and 4 were management-level factors,including daily working hours,weekly working days,overtime,and pre-job technical training.The AUC value of the LASSO regression model was 0.704 and the final model retained a total of 10 variables.Among them,there were 7 risk factors for non-fatal occupational injuries(coefficient>0),including safety hazards,musculoskeletal disorders,dangerous workpieces,job burnout,dirty and disorderly environment,smoking,and male gender;and 3 protective factors(coefficient<0),including pre-job technical training,good colleague relationship,and long working days per week. [Conclusion]Manufacturing enterprises need to focus on the incidence of non-fatal occupational injuries and conduct targeted interven-tions for non-fatal occupational injuries by controlling potential safety hazards,providing pre-job technical training,reducing dangerous workpieces,rectifying working environment,and reasonably arranging working hours.

关键词

非致命性职业伤害/影响因素/LASSO回归/机器学习/制造业

Key words

non-fatal occupational injury/influencing factor/LASSO regression/machine learning/manufacture

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

肖颖衡,陆春花,钱娟,陈颖,谷一硕,杨泽云,丁道正,李丽萍,朱晓俊..基于LASSO回归模型的制造业工人非致命性职业伤害影响因素分析[J].环境与职业医学,2025,42(2):133-139,7.

环境与职业医学

OA北大核心

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