水力发电学报2025,Vol.44Issue(3):50-61,12.DOI:10.11660/slfdxb.20250305
风水光多能互补系统可解释性调度规则研究
Exploring explainable operating rules of water-wind-photovoltaic multi-energy complementary system
摘要
Abstract
The multi-energy complementary system of wind,solar and hydropower has altered the operating conditions of hydropower stations,making the traditional hydropower dispatch rules no longer applicable.We develop a decision tree scheduling rule extraction method based on automatic hyperparameter optimization to examine such a system in the upper reaches of the Yellow River.It extracts a set of scheduling rules for multi-energy complementary systems,while considering new energy consumption and river ecological protection.The results show a competitive relationship exists between the power generation of this system and its river ecological protection goal.And the reservoir inflow is the most important predictor in consideration of its comprehensive power generation benefits.In all three accuracy evaluations,the best is the decision tree scheduling rule extraction model based on automatic hyperparameter optimization,indicating it achieves a significant improvement in accuracy.The research findings help the operation and scheduling of multi-energy complementary systems aimed at river ecological protection and power generation.关键词
多能互补/调度规则/新能源消纳/NSGA-Ⅲ多目标优化算法/决策树Key words
multi-energy complementarity/scheduling rules/new energy consumption/NSGA-III multi-objective optimization algorithm/decision tree分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
任康,陈琼,陈述,张鑫凯,李智..风水光多能互补系统可解释性调度规则研究[J].水力发电学报,2025,44(3):50-61,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(52309025 ()
52479127) ()