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风水光多能互补系统可解释性调度规则研究

任康 陈琼 陈述 张鑫凯 李智

水力发电学报2025,Vol.44Issue(3):50-61,12.
水力发电学报2025,Vol.44Issue(3):50-61,12.DOI:10.11660/slfdxb.20250305

风水光多能互补系统可解释性调度规则研究

Exploring explainable operating rules of water-wind-photovoltaic multi-energy complementary system

任康 1陈琼 1陈述 1张鑫凯 2李智3

作者信息

  • 1. 三峡大学 水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室,湖北 宜昌 443002||三峡大学 水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌 443002
  • 2. 上海勘测设计研究院有限公司,上海 200335
  • 3. 中国长江三峡集团有限公司,武汉 430010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The multi-energy complementary system of wind,solar and hydropower has altered the operating conditions of hydropower stations,making the traditional hydropower dispatch rules no longer applicable.We develop a decision tree scheduling rule extraction method based on automatic hyperparameter optimization to examine such a system in the upper reaches of the Yellow River.It extracts a set of scheduling rules for multi-energy complementary systems,while considering new energy consumption and river ecological protection.The results show a competitive relationship exists between the power generation of this system and its river ecological protection goal.And the reservoir inflow is the most important predictor in consideration of its comprehensive power generation benefits.In all three accuracy evaluations,the best is the decision tree scheduling rule extraction model based on automatic hyperparameter optimization,indicating it achieves a significant improvement in accuracy.The research findings help the operation and scheduling of multi-energy complementary systems aimed at river ecological protection and power generation.

关键词

多能互补/调度规则/新能源消纳/NSGA-Ⅲ多目标优化算法/决策树

Key words

multi-energy complementarity/scheduling rules/new energy consumption/NSGA-III multi-objective optimization algorithm/decision tree

分类

水利科学

引用本文复制引用

任康,陈琼,陈述,张鑫凯,李智..风水光多能互补系统可解释性调度规则研究[J].水力发电学报,2025,44(3):50-61,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(52309025 ()

52479127) ()

水力发电学报

OA北大核心

1003-1243

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