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房建工程碳排放量估算指标编制及应用

夏雨欣 郭婧娟 高振基 李东升

土木工程与管理学报2025,Vol.42Issue(1):112-121,10.
土木工程与管理学报2025,Vol.42Issue(1):112-121,10.DOI:10.13579/j.cnki.2095-0985.2025.20240256

房建工程碳排放量估算指标编制及应用

The Compilation and Application of Carbon Emission Estimation Index for Residential Buildings in China

夏雨欣 1郭婧娟 1高振基 1李东升1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京交通大学 经济管理学院,北京 100044
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the preliminary stage of the residential buildings,carbon emission estimation cannot be carried out due to the limited available data.To solve this problem,this paper,based on the LCA theory and with reference to the compilation of investment estimation indexes,firstly,calculates the carbon emission of the whole lifespan of the residential buildings with process analysis method,and then constructs the carbon emissions database.Secondly,after comparative analysis of 12 machine learning models,random forest regression is utilized to identify the main building parameters affecting carbon emissions.For the main parameters,the study compiles the carbon emission estimation index for single residential building.Finally,the database matching and index estimation methods are used to estimate the carbon emissions of the case project,and the design scheme of the case project is opti-mized.This paper establishes a correlation relationship between whole-life carbon emission and engi-neer cost estimation,bridging the research boundary between the two.The carbon emission estimation index proposed in this paper provides a new idea for the estimation of building carbon emission,which can realize the carbon emission estimation completed by using a small number of parameters in the preliminary stage,and has theoretical and practical significance.

关键词

单体建筑/建筑碳排放/碳排放量预测/估算指标

Key words

single building/building carbon emission/carbon emission prediction/estimation index

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

夏雨欣,郭婧娟,高振基,李东升..房建工程碳排放量估算指标编制及应用[J].土木工程与管理学报,2025,42(1):112-121,10.

基金项目

住建部软科学研究项目(R20220323) (R20220323)

土木工程与管理学报

2095-0985

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