现代农业2025,Vol.50Issue(1):26-37,12.
黄河流域粮食体系韧性水平及驱动因素
Resilience Levels and Driving Factors of Grain System in the Yellow River Basin
摘要
Abstract
The Yellow River Basin is an important grain producing area in China,and its grain system toughness is directly related to national food security.Based on the panel data of nine provinces in the Yellow River Basin from 2013 to 2022,the article constructed a comprehensive resilience index of grain system,and applied the entropy method,the Thiel index and geographic probes to analyze the regional differences and driving factors of resilience of grain system in the Yellow River Basin.The study found that:The resilience level of the grain system in the Yellow River Basin showed an overall upward trend during the period 2013 to 2022;the overall difference in the resilience level of grain system in the Yellow River Basin had expanded significantly,with the upstream,midstream and downstream region differences mainly reflecting the intra-regional differences in the midstream and downstream,the intensification of intra-regional differences in the upstream was the main source that constitutes the increase in the overall differences,while the differences in grain functional areas were mainly reflected in the increase of inter-regional differences;financial support for agriculture,regional economic level,scientific and technological factors,as well as opening to the outside world were important factors affecting the resilience of the grain system,and the interaction of influence factors showed a two-factor enhancement and a non-linear enhancement relationship.In summary,according to the heterogeneous characteristics and the analysis of influence factors,policy recommendations are proposed to enhance the resilience of the grain system in the Yellow River Basin.关键词
粮食体系韧性/区域差异/影响因素Key words
resilience of grain system/regional differences/influence factors分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
郑骏川,李璨,周世昕..黄河流域粮食体系韧性水平及驱动因素[J].现代农业,2025,50(1):26-37,12.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目"中国对外直接投资韧性的测度与提升路径研究"(22XJL002) (22XJL002)
重庆市社会科学规划一般项目"数字经济赋能粮食安全韧性的效应测度及提升策略研究"(2023NDYB52) (2023NDYB52)
重庆市统计科学研究项目"重庆市粮食安全评价与保障"研究(2022KY15). (2022KY15)