中国人口·资源与环境2025，Vol.35Issue(1)：1-16,16.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20241107
新型工业化的典型特征及其对能源消费的影响
Typical features of China's new industrialization and its impact on energy consumption
摘要
Abstract
New industrialization is a key task in building a powerful China and achieving national rejuvenation.This study combined the practice of China's new industrialization since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China,identifying and charac-terizing three major features of China's new industrialization:digitalization,integration,and greening.Through practical and theoretical analysis,it further discussed the impact mechanisms this industrialization had on energy consumption in the new era.Using panel mac-roeconomic data of Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2023,the study conducted an in-depth and systematic empirical test on the impact of the three major features on the total energy consumption,energy efficiency,and energy structure.The results showed that:① The de-velopment of digitalization in China's new industrialization demonstrated a significant positive correlation with energy consumption,with the digital economy industry and the application of digital technology being the primary forces increasing energy consumption.The impact of digitalization on energy efficiency exhibited complex patterns,while its impact on energy structure promoted electrification.② The impact effects of integration on energy consumption did not show a significant consistent pattern,generally showing the charac-teristics of increasing energy consumption.At the structural level,it was characterized by an increase in electricity consumption.Fur-ther analysis indicated that integration significantly promoted the high-end development of the manufacturing industry,reduced labor in-put requirements per unit output of the manufacturing industry,and increased the capital input requirements per unit output of the man-ufacturing industry.③ Greening significantly reduced energy consumption and improved energy efficiency at both the efficiency and structure levels.However,its impact on electricity consumption did not show a significantly consistent pattern.The results of robustness and heterogeneity analyses further supported the above conclusions.These findings indicate that as new industrialization continues to develop in the future,ensuring the coordinated achievement of green and development goals requires the following recommendations:prioritizing the energy consumption issues caused by digitalization,further enhancing the depth and quality of integration,strengthening the enabling effect of productive services on green manufacturing,and promoting greater collaboration between new industrialization and new energy systems as well as new power systems to ensure that all incremental energy consumption demands arising from new in-dustrialization are met through renewable electricity.关键词
新型工业化/数智化/融合化/绿色化/能源消费Key words
new industrialization/digitalization/integration/greening/energy consumption分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
史丹,张瑾,史可寒,刘思良..新型工业化的典型特征及其对能源消费的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2025,35(1):1-16,16.基金项目
中国社会科学院重大项目"中华民族工业文明的形成演进及驱动力研究"(批准号:2023YZD054) （批准号:2023YZD054）
中国社会科学院智库基础项目"产业发展新态势的理论分析方法及经济分析智能化能力建设"(批准号:20ZKJC001) （批准号:20ZKJC001）
工业和信息化部节能与综合利用司2024年度项目和中国社会科学院工业大数据联合实验室项目(批准号:2024SYZH007) （批准号:2024SYZH007）
中国社会科学院博士后创新项目"'双碳'目标背景下我国产业链绿色低碳发展评价及路径研究". （）
