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脱贫地区防返贫能力动力学分析

张劲松 舒双捷 安树庭 马林茂

中南民族大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.44Issue(3):414-425,12.
中南民族大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.44Issue(3):414-425,12.DOI:10.20056/j.cnki.ZNMDZK.20250316

脱贫地区防返贫能力动力学分析

Analysis of the dynamics of the ability to prevent the return of poverty in areas that have been lifted out of poverty

张劲松 1舒双捷 1安树庭 2马林茂1

作者信息

  • 1. 中南民族大学管理学院,武汉 430074||中南民族大学民族地区数字化发展与治理研究中心,武汉 430074
  • 2. 中南民族大学经济学院,武汉 430074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

At the end of 2020,China achieved a comprehensive victory in the battle against poverty,and absolute poverty was completely eliminated,so how to manage relative poverty and comprehensively improve the ability to prevent the return of poverty has become the primary goal of the current stage in the poverty-stricken areas.By introducing the concept of dynamical system,a dynamical system model for the analysis of the ability to prevent returning to poverty that comprehensively takes into account a number of factors such as the natural environment,social support and economic resilience is proposed to study the evolution process of the ability to prevent returning to poverty in poverty-stricken areas from the dynamic perspective,so as to deeply study the mechanism of the influence of different factors on the ability to prevent returning to poverty and its stability analysis.An empirical study is conducted on eight counties and cities in Enshi Prefecture to assess the effect of the model.The results of the study show that better-developed regions are not necessarily more resistant to risk,and when hit by a wide range of public risk events,the possibility of a decline in the ability to prevent poverty return is greater.Flexible and adaptive anti-return mechanisms need to be established for different regions to better adapt to changes in the external environment.

关键词

防返贫能力/脱贫攻坚/动力系统/稳定性分析

Key words

Capacity to prevent the return of poverty/Poverty alleviation/Dynamical system/Stability analysis

分类

自科综合

引用本文复制引用

张劲松,舒双捷,安树庭,马林茂..脱贫地区防返贫能力动力学分析[J].中南民族大学学报(自然科学版),2025,44(3):414-425,12.

基金项目

国家社科基金重点资助项目(19AGL029) (19AGL029)

中南民族大学学报(自然科学版)

1672-4321

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