国际石油经济2025，Vol.33Issue(3)：75-86,12.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2025.03.010
国际天然气市场发展回顾与未来趋势
Review and future trend of the global natural gas market
摘要
Abstract
The global natural gas market is currently facing multiple challenges such as rising demand,price volatility,and supply chain security.The Ukraine issue further reshaped the supply-demand pattern of the global natural gas market,highlighting the critical role of natural gas in the energy transition.In the future,the global natural gas market will be characterized by regional diversification and dynamic changes.The Asia-Pacific region,especially China,will be the core driver of natural gas demand growth.Europe may enter a downward path in long-term demand due to renewable energy substitution and decarbonization policies.The consumption growth in North America is expected to continue until about 2040 owing to its resource advantages and industrial demand recovery.North America and the Middle East will dominate global gas supply,the globalization of LNG trade will further drive the concentration of supply towards these regions,and Russia's market position would be affected by geopolitics and international sanctions.Global natural gas trade flows are being profoundly restructured with shrinking demand in traditional markets and the rise of emerging markets,leading to a more complex and uncertain supply,demand and trade landscape.Natural gas prices continue to be influenced by multiple factors but long-term prices will remain dominated by supply and demand fundamentals as the market gradually balances.关键词
天然气市场/供需/进出口/天然气价格/地缘政治Key words
natural gas market/supply and demand/import and export/natural gas prices/geopolitics分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
苗玲,冯连勇..国际天然气市场发展回顾与未来趋势[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(3):75-86,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目"基于净能源与碳投入回报的CO2技术经济评价方法研究"(72274212). （72274212）
