林业科学2025，Vol.61Issue(3)：199-213,15.DOI:10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20240307
中国林业新质生产力的形成逻辑、时空演变与障碍因子分析
Formation Logic,Spatial&Temporal Evolution and Obstacle Factors Analysis of China's Forestry New Quality Productive Forces
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]Based on the logic of the formation of new quality productive forces in forestry,this study constructs an evaluation system for China's forestry new quality productive forces and captures the spatiotemporal evolution process.It explores how to alleviate the main constraints currently faced by the development of forestry new quality productive forces,providing a reference and decision-making basis for the targeted development of China's forestry new quality productive forces.[Method]First,based on panel data from 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in China from 2012 to 2020,the entropy weighting method was applied to assign weights to tertiary indicators,calculating the comprehensive and dimensional development levels of new quality productivity in forestry across regions.Second,kernel density estimation was used to capture the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of forestry productivity at the national and regional levels.Third,the Dagum Gini coefficient method was employed to calculate and decompose regional disparities in forestry productivity and assess spatial autocorrelation among provinces using Moran's I.Lastly,obstacle factor identification was utilized to pinpoint the top three factors hindering the development of new-quality productivity in forestry.[Result]First,China's forestry new quality productive forces exhibited an overall upward trend during the sample period,yet the phenomenon of unbalanced and insufficient development was quite evident.Second,the Gini coefficient of forestry new quality productive forces,both within and between regions,has fluctuated and increased,with spatial autocorrelation and clustering characteristics evident among the development levels of forestry new quality productive forces in each province.Third,the study indicates that the development of forestry new quality productive forces is primarily constrained by the unit forestry labor productivity,the proportion of the output value of emerging and new forestry industries,and the value of forest ecosystem services.[Conclusion]In the future,First,to enhance the training system required for new forestry workers and strengthen the extension of forestry science and technology.Second,to adjust the industrial structure required for new forestry labor materials and promote the upgrading of the forestry industry.Third,to optimize the policy system required for new forestry labor objects and facilitate the channels of value transformation.关键词
新质生产力/林业产业/形成逻辑/时空演变/障碍因子识别Key words
forestry new productive forces/forest industry/formation logic/spatial&temporal evolution/obstacle factors identification分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
柯水发,万深玮,孔凡斌,朱洪革..中国林业新质生产力的形成逻辑、时空演变与障碍因子分析[J].林业科学,2025,61(3):199-213,15.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(19BGL161). （19BGL161）
