南方电网技术2025，Vol.19Issue(2)：124-134,11.DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2025.02.013
考虑电价不确定性与生产连续性的工业用户市场策略
Market Strategy of Industrial Users Considering Electricity Price Uncertainty and Production Continuity
摘要
Abstract
With the proposal of the"dual carbon"target and the gradual deepening of the construction requirements of new power systems,industrial users are no longer traditional passive demanders,but need to make bidding decisions in the market according to their own production processes and planning loads.They need to face the uncertainty of electricity prices while making optimal bid-ding decisions that do not affect their own production continuity.A scenario construction based on industrial process modeling is proposed for industrial users to participate in the day-ahead and real-time electricity market,fully considering the uncertainty of electricity prices and production continuity.A two-stage bidding risk avoidance model is proposed based on risk optimization technol-ogy.Furthermore,in order to study the optimal bidding strategy for industrial users,the rationality of historical data is considered to improve the accuracy of target day simulation and obtain more accurate load data as the boundary of market bidding optimization algorithm.Taking industrial cement production as an example,modeling and analysis are conducted on various stages of cement productions.A simulation is designed using day-ahead and real-time electricity price data from Guangdong Province.The simulation results prove from multiple aspects that the proposed method can optimize users'electricity market bidding strategies and reduce user costs.关键词
电力市场/数据驱动/随机优化/聚类算法/工业用户/市场策略Key words
electricity market/data-driven/stochastic optimization/clustering algorithm/industrial users/market strategy分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
苏志鹏,代心芸,王莉,黄宇翔,蔡莹,陈皓勇..考虑电价不确定性与生产连续性的工业用户市场策略[J].南方电网技术,2025,19(2):124-134,11.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2022YFB2403500) （2022YFB2403500）
中国南方电网有限责任公司重大科技项目(GDKJXM20220333). Supported by the National Key Research and Deveopment Program of China(2022YFB2403500) （GDKJXM20220333）
the Major Science and Technology Project of China Southern Power Grid Co.,Ltd.(GDKJXM20220333). （GDKJXM20220333）
