人口与经济Issue(2)：31-46,16.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2025.02.003
省域资源供需视角下我国城镇托幼服务一体化研究
A Study on the Integration of Urban Childcare Service and Preschool Education from the Perspective of Supply and Demand of Provincial Resource in China
摘要
Abstract
Integration of childcare service and preschool education has become the actual choice and the inevitable trend for the development of preschool education both domestically and internationally.Through establishing a provincial urban population prediction model,a 3-6 year-old preschool education resource supply and demand model as well as a childcare service demand model for children under 3 years old,the scale of idle resources for preschool education aged 3-6 are compared with the demand for childcare service resources to explore the feasibility of the integration of urban childcare service and preschool education in China both nationally and provincially.The results show that under the current enrollment rate,both the degree level and the teacher level have the conditions to implement the integration of childcare service and preschool education relying on the idle resources of preschool education.However,with the increase of the enrollment rate and the increase of the demand for childcare service resources,it is still necessary to increase the supply of childcare service resources on the basis of the integration of childcare service and preschool education.From the perspective of resource category,the increase in the supply of teachers will face greater pressure than the increase in the supply of beds.From the regional perspective,Beijing-Tianjin-Shanghai region,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,Liaoning Province and Jilin Province had the need for the increase in the supply of beds earlier after the integration of childcare service and preschool education,among which the Beijing and Shanghai have the longest need for the increase in the supply of beds after the integration of childcare service and preschool education.The provinces that still need to increase the supply of teachers after the integration of childcare service and preschool education are widely distributed throughout the country,and the southwest and northwest regions need to increase the supply of teachers after the integration of childcare service and preschool education in the longest year.Therefore,it is recommended to establish a dynamic prediction and early warning mechanism of"school-age population-education resources"in the province based on the background of integration of childcare service and preschool education,as well as plan the supply of childcare service resources and the construction of childcare service system based on the"integration system of childcare service and preschool education".Moreover,a stable supply system of early education teachers needs to be constructed based on basic idea of integrated training.关键词
学前教育/托育服务/省域资源供需/托幼一体化Key words
preschool education/childcare service/provincial resources supply-demand relationship/integration of childcare service and preschool education分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
毛婷..省域资源供需视角下我国城镇托幼服务一体化研究[J].人口与经济,2025,(2):31-46,16.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目"基础养老金计发办法改革的效应评估及路径选择研究"(24CSH131). （24CSH131）
